Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.88 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHeart Of Midlothian to win ✓51% · @1.63
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.95
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Falkirk travel to face Heart Of Midlothian on Saturday 21 February in the Premiership, with Tynecastle Park the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Heart Of Midlothian are 4th, among the top four, on 20 points after 12 matches; Falkirk are 3rd (among the top four) with 21. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Heart Of Midlothian 1.6 xG, Falkirk 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Heart Of Midlothian 51%, draw 22%, Falkirk 27%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.88.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.88 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 Falkirk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Heart Of Midlothian51%fair 1.95 · @1.63
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @4.00
Falkirk27%fair 3.77 · @4.80
2.89Expected goals
1.59Heart Of Midlothian xG
1.30Falkirk xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Heart Of Midlothian 1.6 – 1.3 Falkirk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heart Of Midlothian to win✓
51%
1.95
1.63
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.88 ▲
Draw no bet
Heart Of Midlothian (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Falkirk +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.12
First team to score
Heart Of Midlothian to score first✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heart Of Midlothian / FT Heart Of Midlothian✓
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.95
–
Recent results
Heart Of Midlothian – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Rangers
2–4
L
2.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Falkirk
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heart Of Midlothian and Falkirk.
What is the prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
On our numbers Heart Of Midlothian have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Falkirk 27%.
How many goals will there be in Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
Our predicted score is Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 Falkirk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Tynecastle Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
