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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dundee Utd v Kilmarnock: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Scotland · Tannadice Park
Dundee Utd 47%Draw 24%Kilmarnock 29% Expected goals 1.69 – 1.21
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.23Odds

Picks by market

ResultDundee Utd to win ✗47% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52

Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dundee Utd welcome Kilmarnock to Tannadice Park for a Premiership fixture on Saturday 21 February (16:00 WAT). In the table, Dundee Utd are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 12 matches; Kilmarnock are 12th (in the drop zone) with 9.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dundee Utd 1.7 xG, Kilmarnock 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dundee Utd 47%, draw 24%, Kilmarnock 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.66.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dundee Utd 1–1 Kilmarnock. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dundee Utd47%fair 2.14 · @1.98
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.60
Kilmarnock29%fair 3.40 · @3.50
2.90Expected goals
1.69Dundee Utd xG
1.21Kilmarnock xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%

From our goals model: Dundee Utd 1.7 – 1.2 Kilmarnock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDundee Utd to win ✗47%2.141.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.311.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.66
Draw no betDundee Utd (draw no bet)61%1.63–
Asian handicapKilmarnock +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.23
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.72
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.221.14
First team to scoreDundee Utd to score first55%1.82–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dundee Utd / FT Dundee Utd ✗30%3.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.52–

Recent results

Dundee Utd – last 1

W
17 Febvs Spartans2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Kilmarnock – last 1

L
15 Febvs Celtic2–3L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Dundee Utd and Kilmarnock.

Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Celtic131012+1831
2Rangers12831+1227
3Falkirk13634+621
4Heart Of Midlothian12624+420
5Dundee12525+317
6Dundee Utd12453017
7ST Johnstone13454-317
8ST Mirren13427-1014
9Motherwell13346-613
10Hibernian12327-211
11Aberdeen12327-611
12Kilmarnock13238-169

More Premiership predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock?

On our numbers Dundee Utd have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kilmarnock 29%.

How many goals will there be in Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock?

Our predicted score is Dundee Utd 1–1 Kilmarnock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock?

Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Tannadice Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.