Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dundee Utd welcome Kilmarnock to Tannadice Park for a Premiership fixture on Saturday 21 February (16:00 WAT). In the table, Dundee Utd are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 12 matches; Kilmarnock are 12th (in the drop zone) with 9.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dundee Utd 1.7 xG, Kilmarnock 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dundee Utd 47%, draw 24%, Kilmarnock 29%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.66.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dundee Utd 1–1 Kilmarnock. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dundee Utd47%fair 2.14 · @1.98
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.60
Kilmarnock29%fair 3.40 · @3.50
2.90Expected goals
1.69Dundee Utd xG
1.21Kilmarnock xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Dundee Utd 1.7 – 1.2 Kilmarnock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dundee Utd to win✗
47%
2.14
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.66
Draw no bet
Dundee Utd (draw no bet)
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Kilmarnock +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.72
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
First team to score
Dundee Utd to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dundee Utd / FT Dundee Utd✗
30%
3.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
Dundee Utd – last 1
W
17 Feb
vs Spartans
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Kilmarnock – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Celtic
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dundee Utd and Kilmarnock.
What is the prediction for Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock?
On our numbers Dundee Utd have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kilmarnock 29%.
How many goals will there be in Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock?
Our predicted score is Dundee Utd 1–1 Kilmarnock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock?
Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Tannadice Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.