Morton vs Airdrie United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Morton welcome Airdrie United to Cappielow Park for a Championship fixture on Friday 1 May (19:45 WAT).
Current form
Morton, last 4: WLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Arbroath, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Airdrie United, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Dunfermline, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Morton, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Airdrie United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Morton 1.4 xG, Airdrie United 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Morton 40%, draw 25%, Airdrie United 35%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Morton 1–1 Airdrie United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Morton40%fair 2.51 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.30
Airdrie United35%fair 2.87 · @2.90
2.68Expected goals
1.39Morton xG
1.29Airdrie United xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Morton 1.4 – 1.3 Airdrie United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Morton
Airdrie United
Attack vs Championship average
+19%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
+43%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.51
1.40
Our own ratings from every Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Morton to win✗
40%
2.51
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.67
Draw no bet
Morton (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Airdrie United +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Morton to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Morton / FT Morton✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.70
–
Recent results
Morton – last 4
WLLW
28 Mar
vs Arbroath
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Partick
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Queen's Park
2–3
L
17 Feb
vs Dunfermline
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Airdrie United – last 3
DLL
14 Apr
vs Dunfermline
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Partick
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs ST Johnstone
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Morton and Airdrie United.
What is the prediction for Morton vs Airdrie United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Morton vs Airdrie United?
On our numbers Morton have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Airdrie United 35%.
How many goals will there be in Morton vs Airdrie United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Morton vs Airdrie United?
Our predicted score is Morton 1–1 Airdrie United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Morton vs Airdrie United?
Morton vs Airdrie United (Championship) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Cappielow Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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