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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Raith Rovers v Ross County: numbers & prediction

Championship · Scotland · Stark's Park
3–2
FT
Raith Rovers 47%Draw 25%Ross County 28% Expected goals 1.55 – 0.91
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1

Value bet: Raith Rovers to win @ 2.36 – our chance 47% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRaith Rovers to win ✓47% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.71

Raith Rovers vs Ross County: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Raith Rovers welcome Ross County to Stark's Park for a Championship fixture on Friday 1 May (19:45 WAT).

Current form

Raith Rovers, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to ST Johnstone, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Ross County, last 4: LLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Queen's Park, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Raith Rovers, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Ross County.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Raith Rovers 1.6 xG, Ross County 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Raith Rovers 47%, draw 25%, Ross County 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Raith Rovers to win @2.36 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 47%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Raith Rovers 1–0 Ross County. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Raith Rovers47%fair 2.12 · @2.36
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.30
Ross County28%fair 3.61 · @2.76
2.46Expected goals
1.55Raith Rovers xG
0.91Ross County xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%

From our goals model: Raith Rovers 1.6 – 0.9 Ross County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Raith RoversRoss County
Attack vs Championship average+14%-4%
Goals conceded vs average-30%+17%
Our expected goals here1.690.71

Our own ratings from every Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRaith Rovers to win ✓47%2.122.36 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.73
Draw no betRaith Rovers (draw no bet) ✓63%1.59–
Asian handicapRoss County +1 (Asian handicap)64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.341.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗90%1.12–
First team to scoreRaith Rovers to score first ✗58%1.73–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Raith Rovers / FT Raith Rovers ✗32%3.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.71–

Recent results

Raith Rovers – last 6

LWWWLD
24 Apr@ ST Johnstone0–2L
14 Apr@ Queen's Park2–0W
5 Aprvs Inverness CT4–1W
27 Marvs Ayr Utd3–0W
24 Marvs Partick0–2L
20 Febvs ST Johnstone0–0D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ross County – last 4

LLLD
10 Apr@ Queen's Park0–1L
27 Mar@ Partick1–3L
3 Mar@ Dunfermline0–3L
21 Feb@ Ayr Utd0–0D
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Raith Rovers and Ross County.

Raith Rovers vs Ross County head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Partick14842+1128
2Raith Rovers14743+1125
3Dunfermline14671+825
4Stenhousemuir14725023
5Livingston14635+721
6Inverness CT14554+120
7Ayr Utd13436-415
8Arbroath14428-1214
9Morton13418-713
10Queen's Park142111-157

More Championship predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Raith Rovers vs Ross County?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Raith Rovers vs Ross County?

On our numbers Raith Rovers have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ross County 28%.

How many goals will there be in Raith Rovers vs Ross County?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Raith Rovers vs Ross County?

Our predicted score is Raith Rovers 1–0 Ross County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Raith Rovers vs Ross County?

Raith Rovers vs Ross County (Championship) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stark's Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.