Colchester vs Accrington ST: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Accrington ST travel to face Colchester on Tuesday 14 April in the League Two, with Colchester Community Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Colchester are 23rd, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 13 matches; Accrington ST are 9th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Colchester, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Swindon Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Accrington ST, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Gillingham, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colchester 1.3 xG, Accrington ST 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colchester 49%, draw 24%, Accrington ST 26%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colchester 1–1 Accrington ST. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colchester49%fair 2.02 · @1.65
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.70
Accrington ST26%fair 3.80 · @5.10
2.48Expected goals
1.34Colchester xG
1.14Accrington ST xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–08%
2–07%
From our goals model: Colchester 1.3 – 1.1 Accrington ST expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Colchester
Accrington ST
Attack vs League Two average
-20%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
+8%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.13
1.39
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colchester to win✓
49%
2.02
1.65
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.83
Draw no bet
Colchester (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Accrington ST +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.11
First team to score
Colchester to score first
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colchester / FT Colchester✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.70
–
Recent results
Colchester – last 6
WWLLDL
10 Apr
vs Swindon Town
3–0
W
6 Apr
@ Tranmere
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Oldham
1–3
L
18 Mar
@ Milton Keynes Dons
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs Crawley Town
0–0
D
3 Mar
@ Chesterfield
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Accrington ST – last 6
LWLLLW
6 Apr
@ Gillingham
0–2
L
3 Apr
vs Crewe
2–0
W
17 Mar
vs Notts County
0–4
L
24 Feb
vs Barnet
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Shrewsbury
0–2
L
17 Feb
@ Tranmere
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colchester and Accrington ST.
What is the prediction for Colchester vs Accrington ST?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Colchester vs Accrington ST?
On our numbers Colchester have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Accrington ST 26%.
How many goals will there be in Colchester vs Accrington ST?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colchester vs Accrington ST?
Our predicted score is Colchester 1–1 Accrington ST, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Colchester vs Accrington ST?
Colchester vs Accrington ST (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Colchester Community Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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