Cheltenham vs Gillingham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Tuesday 14 April: Cheltenham v Gillingham in the League Two, played at EV Charger Points Stadium. In the table, Cheltenham are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Gillingham are 8th (upper half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cheltenham, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cambridge United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Gillingham, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Accrington ST, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cheltenham 1.6 xG, Gillingham 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cheltenham 42%, draw 25%, Gillingham 33%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cheltenham 1–1 Gillingham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cheltenham42%fair 2.38 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.25
Gillingham33%fair 3.02 · @2.78
2.88Expected goals
1.57Cheltenham xG
1.31Gillingham xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Cheltenham 1.6 – 1.3 Gillingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cheltenham
Gillingham
Attack vs League Two average
+12%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
+24%
+8%
Our expected goals here
1.88
1.47
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cheltenham to win✓
42%
2.38
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.80
Draw no bet
Cheltenham (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Gillingham +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.07
First team to score
Cheltenham to score first✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cheltenham / FT Cheltenham✗
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.03
–
Recent results
Cheltenham – last 6
DLDDDD
6 Apr
vs Cambridge United
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Chesterfield
0–1
L
17 Mar
vs Crewe
1–1
D
10 Mar
@ Fleetwood Town
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs Barrow
2–2
D
27 Feb
@ Harrogate Town
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gillingham – last 6
WDLLLL
6 Apr
vs Accrington ST
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ Walsall
2–2
D
17 Mar
vs Swindon Town
0–2
L
10 Mar
vs Milton Keynes Dons
1–5
L
21 Feb
vs Oldham
0–3
L
17 Feb
@ Chesterfield
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cheltenham and Gillingham.
What is the prediction for Cheltenham vs Gillingham?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Cheltenham vs Gillingham?
On our numbers Cheltenham have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gillingham 33%.
How many goals will there be in Cheltenham vs Gillingham?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cheltenham vs Gillingham?
Our predicted score is Cheltenham 1–1 Gillingham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Cheltenham vs Gillingham?
Cheltenham vs Gillingham (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at EV Charger Points Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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