Value bet: Barrow to win @ 3.45 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOldham to win ✗40% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.69
Barrow vs Oldham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 14 April the League Two brings Barrow against Oldham at Holker Street. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT.
Current form
Barrow, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Chesterfield, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Oldham, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Milton Keynes Dons, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Oldham, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.3 for Barrow.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barrow 1.3 xG, Oldham 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barrow 34%, draw 26%, Oldham 40%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Barrow to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barrow 1–1 Oldham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barrow34%fair 2.94 · @3.45
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.30
Oldham40%fair 2.52 · @2.08
2.47Expected goals
1.25Barrow xG
1.22Oldham xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Barrow 1.3 – 1.2 Oldham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Barrow
Oldham
Attack vs League Two average
-6%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
+8%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.39
1.13
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oldham to win✗
40%
2.52
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.77
Draw no bet
Oldham (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Oldham +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
Barrow to score first
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barrow / FT Barrow✗
21%
4.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.69
–
Recent results
Barrow – last 6
LDLLDL
6 Apr
vs Chesterfield
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Milton Keynes Dons
0–0
D
17 Mar
@ Salford City
1–3
L
10 Mar
vs Bristol Rovers
0–2
L
6 Mar
@ Cheltenham
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Fleetwood Town
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Oldham – last 6
DWWWDW
6 Apr
vs Milton Keynes Dons
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Colchester
3–1
W
24 Mar
vs Notts County
3–0
W
17 Mar
@ Chesterfield
3–0
W
3 Mar
@ Bromley
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Gillingham
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barrow and Oldham.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Barrow vs Oldham?
On our numbers Barrow have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Oldham 40%.
How many goals will there be in Barrow vs Oldham?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barrow vs Oldham?
Our predicted score is Barrow 1–1 Oldham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Barrow vs Oldham?
Barrow vs Oldham (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Holker Street.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
