Chesterfield vs Grimsby: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chesterfield welcome Grimsby to SMH Group Stadium for a League Two fixture on Tuesday 14 April (19:45 WAT). In the table, Chesterfield are 10th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Grimsby are 6th (upper half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Chesterfield, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Barrow, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Grimsby, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Crawley Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chesterfield 1.6 xG, Grimsby 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chesterfield 41%, draw 24%, Grimsby 35%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chesterfield 1–1 Grimsby. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chesterfield41%fair 2.44 · @2.54
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.35
Grimsby35%fair 2.87 · @2.65
3.01Expected goals
1.61Chesterfield xG
1.40Grimsby xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Chesterfield 1.6 – 1.4 Grimsby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Chesterfield
Grimsby
Attack vs League Two average
+18%
+25%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.92
1.56
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesterfield to win✓
41%
2.44
2.54
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.65
Draw no bet
Chesterfield (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Grimsby +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.11
First team to score
Chesterfield to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield✓
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.19
–
Recent results
Chesterfield – last 6
WWLWDW
6 Apr
@ Barrow
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Cheltenham
1–0
W
17 Mar
vs Oldham
0–3
L
3 Mar
vs Colchester
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Crawley Town
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Gillingham
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Grimsby – last 6
WLWDWL
6 Apr
@ Crawley Town
2–0
W
3 Apr
vs Harrogate Town
1–3
L
17 Mar
vs Fleetwood Town
1–0
W
7 Mar
vs Bromley
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Salford City
3–1
W
21 Feb
@ Bristol Rovers
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesterfield and Grimsby.
What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Grimsby?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Grimsby?
On our numbers Chesterfield have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Grimsby 35%.
How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Grimsby?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Grimsby?
Our predicted score is Chesterfield 1–1 Grimsby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Chesterfield vs Grimsby?
Chesterfield vs Grimsby (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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