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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Accrington ST v Cambridge United: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · The Wham Stadium
Sat 7 Mar 2026
Accrington ST 30%Draw 27%Cambridge United 43% Expected goals 1.20 – 1.14
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Accrington ST to win @ 4.10 – our chance 30% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultCambridge United to win43% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 13.30

Accrington ST vs Cambridge United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Accrington ST welcome Cambridge United to The Wham Stadium for a League Two fixture on Saturday 7 March (16:00 WAT).

Current form

Accrington ST, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Barnet, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Cambridge United, last 3: DWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Milton Keynes Dons, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Cambridge United, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Accrington ST.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Accrington ST 1.2 xG, Cambridge United 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Accrington ST 30%, draw 27%, Cambridge United 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Accrington ST to win @4.10 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 30%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Accrington ST 1–1 Cambridge United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Accrington ST30%fair 3.34 · @4.10
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.30
Cambridge United43%fair 2.32 · @1.90
2.34Expected goals
1.20Accrington ST xG
1.14Cambridge United xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Accrington ST 1.2 – 1.1 Cambridge United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Accrington STCambridge United
Attack vs League Two average+12%-10%
Goals conceded vs average-9%-12%
Our expected goals here1.530.94

Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCambridge United to win43%2.321.90
Double chanceEither team to win73%1.371.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score54%1.862.00 ▲
Draw no betCambridge United (draw no bet)59%1.69–
Asian handicapCambridge United +0.5 (Asian handicap)63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals67%1.491.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals59%1.701.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals79%1.271.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals90%1.111.06
First team to scoreAccrington ST to score first46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Accrington ST / FT Accrington ST21%4.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%13.30–

Recent results

Accrington ST – last 3

LLW
24 Febvs Barnet0–1L
21 Febvs Shrewsbury0–2L
17 Feb@ Tranmere1–0W
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Cambridge United – last 3

DWD
28 Febvs Milton Keynes Dons1–1D
21 Feb@ Newport County2–0W
17 Febvs Colchester1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Accrington ST and Cambridge United.

Accrington ST vs Cambridge United head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Accrington ST vs Cambridge United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Accrington ST vs Cambridge United?

On our numbers Accrington ST have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cambridge United 43%.

How many goals will there be in Accrington ST vs Cambridge United?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Accrington ST vs Cambridge United?

Our predicted score is Accrington ST 1–1 Cambridge United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Accrington ST vs Cambridge United?

Accrington ST vs Cambridge United (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at The Wham Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.