Gillingham 42%Draw 26%Fleetwood Town 32%Expected goals 1.44 – 1.16
74%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Fleetwood Town to win @ 3.35 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultGillingham to win42% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.18
Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gillingham welcome Fleetwood Town to Priestfield Stadium for a League Two fixture on Saturday 7 March (16:00 WAT). In the table, Gillingham are 8th, upper half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Fleetwood Town are 16th (lower half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Fleetwood Town, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Walsall, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gillingham 1.4 xG, Fleetwood Town 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gillingham 42%, draw 26%, Fleetwood Town 32%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Fleetwood Town to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gillingham 1–1 Fleetwood Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gillingham42%fair 2.36 · @2.18
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.20
Fleetwood Town32%fair 3.16 · @3.35
2.60Expected goals
1.44Gillingham xG
1.16Fleetwood Town xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Gillingham 1.4 – 1.2 Fleetwood Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Gillingham
Fleetwood Town
Attack vs League Two average
+3%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
+8%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.58
1.19
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gillingham to win
42%
2.36
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.82
1.80
Draw no bet
Gillingham (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Fleetwood Town +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Gillingham to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gillingham / FT Gillingham
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.18
–
Recent results
Gillingham – last 2
LL
21 Feb
vs Oldham
0–3
L
17 Feb
@ Chesterfield
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fleetwood Town – last 3
WWW
3 Mar
@ Walsall
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Barrow
3–2
W
17 Feb
@ Crewe
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gillingham and Fleetwood Town.
What is the prediction for Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town?
On our numbers Gillingham have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fleetwood Town 32%.
How many goals will there be in Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town?
Our predicted score is Gillingham 1–1 Fleetwood Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town?
Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Priestfield Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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