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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chesterfield v Shrewsbury: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · SMH Group Stadium

Chesterfield

WDW
Sat 7 Mar 2026

Shrewsbury

LWWW
Chesterfield 56%Draw 24%Shrewsbury 19% Expected goals 1.84 – 1.03
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.33

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultChesterfield to win56% · @1.76
Double chanceChesterfield or draw81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.12

Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Saturday 7 March: Chesterfield v Shrewsbury in the League Two, played at SMH Group Stadium. In the table, Chesterfield are 10th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Shrewsbury are 15th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Chesterfield, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Colchester, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Shrewsbury, last 4: LWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Walsall, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chesterfield 1.8 xG, Shrewsbury 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chesterfield 56%, draw 24%, Shrewsbury 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Chesterfield or draw (81%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chesterfield 1–1 Shrewsbury. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chesterfield56%fair 1.77 · @1.76
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.55
Shrewsbury19%fair 5.18 · @4.60
2.87Expected goals
1.84Chesterfield xG
1.03Shrewsbury xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
0–16%

From our goals model: Chesterfield 1.8 – 1.0 Shrewsbury expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

ChesterfieldShrewsbury
Attack vs League Two average+18%-3%
Goals conceded vs average+9%+12%
Our expected goals here2.041.21

Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChesterfield to win56%1.771.76
Double chanceChesterfield or draw81%1.241.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score52%1.941.85
Draw no betChesterfield (draw no bet)74%1.34–
Asian handicapShrewsbury +1.5 (Asian handicap)68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals74%1.351.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals51%1.962.00
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals71%1.421.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals85%1.181.09
First team to scoreChesterfield to score first60%1.66–
Half-time resultChesterfield ahead at half-time41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield35%2.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.12–

Recent results

Chesterfield – last 3

WDW
3 Marvs Colchester3–0W
21 Feb@ Crawley Town1–1D
17 Febvs Gillingham1–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Shrewsbury – last 4

LWWW
28 Febvs Walsall1–2L
24 Feb@ Salford City2–1W
21 Feb@ Accrington ST2–0W
17 Febvs Notts County1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chesterfield and Shrewsbury.

Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub
FT Grimsby1 Bromley1 146%2.12X25%3.40229%3.30 1.6–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT Salford City2 Barnet0 144%2.60X24%3.35232%2.60 1.7–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.28 ✓
– Accrington ST Cambridge United 130%4.10X27%3.30243%1.90 1.2–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20
– Bristol Rovers Crewe 141%2.18X26%3.40233%3.15 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28
– Crawley Town Swindon Town 133%3.05X26%3.50241%2.18 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 70%@1.42
– Gillingham Fleetwood Town 142%2.18X26%3.20232%3.35 1.4–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25
– Milton Keynes Dons Harrogate Town 162%1.36X22%4.75215%7.90 1.7–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.20
– Tranmere Oldham 133%3.70X26%3.45242%1.97 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.30

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury?

On our numbers Chesterfield have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shrewsbury 19%.

How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury?

Our predicted score is Chesterfield 1–1 Shrewsbury, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury?

Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.