Crawley Town 33%Draw 26%Swindon Town 41%Expected goals 1.24 – 1.32
70%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.42
7/10Rating
1.42Odds
Picks by market
ResultSwindon Town to win41% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 11.97
Crawley Town vs Swindon Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Swindon Town travel to face Crawley Town on Saturday 7 March in the League Two, with The Broadfield Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Crawley Town are 24th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 12 matches; Swindon Town are 13th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Swindon Town, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bristol Rovers, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Crawley Town 1.2 xG, Swindon Town 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Crawley Town 33%, draw 26%, Swindon Town 41%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (70%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crawley Town 1–1 Swindon Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Crawley Town33%fair 3.07 · @3.05
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.50
Swindon Town41%fair 2.42 · @2.18
2.57Expected goals
1.24Crawley Town xG
1.32Swindon Town xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Crawley Town 1.2 – 1.3 Swindon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Crawley Town
Swindon Town
Attack vs League Two average
-16%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.17
1.09
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Swindon Town to win
41%
2.42
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
62%
1.63
1.57
Draw no bet
Swindon Town (draw no bet)
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Crawley Town +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
51%
1.96
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
85%
1.17
1.15
First team to score
Swindon Town to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Swindon Town / FT Swindon Town
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
11.97
–
Recent results
Crawley Town – last 2
DD
21 Feb
vs Chesterfield
1–1
D
17 Feb
@ Milton Keynes Dons
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Swindon Town – last 3
DLW
28 Feb
vs Bristol Rovers
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Crewe
1–2
L
17 Feb
@ Barnet
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crawley Town and Swindon Town.
What is the prediction for Crawley Town vs Swindon Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Crawley Town vs Swindon Town?
On our numbers Crawley Town have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Swindon Town 41%.
How many goals will there be in Crawley Town vs Swindon Town?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crawley Town vs Swindon Town?
Our predicted score is Crawley Town 1–1 Swindon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Crawley Town vs Swindon Town?
Crawley Town vs Swindon Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at The Broadfield Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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