Blackburn v Portsmouth Prediction & Expected Goals (7 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBlackburn to win ✗41% · @2.46

Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.99

Blackburn vs Portsmouth: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Blackburn welcome Portsmouth to Ewood Park for a Championship fixture on Saturday 7 March (13:30 WAT). In the table, Blackburn are 13th, lower half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Portsmouth are 11th (upper half) with 22. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Blackburn, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Derby, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Portsmouth, last 4: LLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hull City, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Portsmouth, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Blackburn.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Blackburn 1.3 xG, Portsmouth 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Blackburn 41%, draw 27%, Portsmouth 32%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Blackburn 1–1 Portsmouth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Blackburn41%fair 2.47 · @2.46

Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.10

Portsmouth32%fair 3.10 · @2.92

2.35Expected goals

1.28Blackburn xG

1.08Portsmouth xG

54%Both score

41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–012%

0–110%

0–010%

2–18%

2–08%

From our goals model: Blackburn 1.3 – 1.1 Portsmouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Blackburn to win ✗	41%	2.47	2.46
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	73%	1.37	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	54%	1.86	2.00 ▲
Draw no bet	Blackburn (draw no bet)	56%	1.80	–
Asian handicap	Portsmouth +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	76%	1.31	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	67%	1.50	1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	59%	1.69	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	79%	1.26	1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	1.05
First team to score	Blackburn to score first	49%	2.04	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	46%	2.19	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Blackburn / FT Blackburn ✗	24%	4.23	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	11.99	–

Blackburn – last 3

LLW

28 Feb	@ Derby	1–3	L
24 Feb	vs Bristol City	1–2	L
20 Feb	vs Preston	1–0	W

1.0Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Portsmouth – last 4

LLWW

28 Feb	vs Hull City	0–1	L
24 Feb	@ Wrexham	1–2	L
21 Feb	@ Millwall	3–1	W
17 Feb	@ Charlton	3–1	W

1.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

75%Both scored

75%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	15	8	5	2	+14	29
2	Middlesbrough	15	8	5	2	+11	29
3	Stoke City	15	9	2	4	+6	29
4	Wolves	15	8	4	3	+8	28
5	West Brom	15	8	4	3	+8	28
6	Swansea	15	8	2	5	+4	26
7	Southampton	15	8	4	3	+14	24
8	QPR	15	6	6	3	+6	24
9	West Ham	15	6	5	4	+14	23
10	Sheffield Utd	15	6	4	5	+2	22
11	Portsmouth	15	6	4	5	+2	22
12	Norwich	15	7	0	8	+8	21
13	Blackburn	15	6	3	6	-1	21
14	Cardiff	15	4	6	5	0	18
15	Wrexham	15	4	6	5	-2	18
16	Millwall	15	5	3	7	-4	18
17	Bristol City	15	5	3	7	-8	18
18	Bolton	15	5	2	8	-9	17
19	Charlton	15	4	5	6	-10	17
20	Watford	15	4	3	8	-10	15
21	Lincoln	15	4	3	8	-11	15
22	Burnley	15	1	7	7	-9	10
23	Derby	15	2	4	9	-16	10
24	Preston	15	2	2	11	-17	8

Team

Pts

+14

+11

+14

+14

-1

-2

-4

-8

-9

-10

-10

-11

-9

-16

-17

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Blackburn vs Portsmouth?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Blackburn vs Portsmouth?

On our numbers Blackburn have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Portsmouth 32%.

How many goals will there be in Blackburn vs Portsmouth?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Blackburn vs Portsmouth?

Our predicted score is Blackburn 1–1 Portsmouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Blackburn vs Portsmouth?

Blackburn vs Portsmouth (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Ewood Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Blackburn v Portsmouth: numbers & prediction