West Brom vs Southampton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
West Brom welcome Southampton to The Hawthorns for a Championship fixture on Wednesday 11 March (20:45 WAT). In the table, West Brom are 5th, upper half, on 28 points after 15 matches; Southampton are 7th (upper half) with 24.
Current form
Southampton, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Fulham, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give West Brom 1.3 xG, Southampton 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – West Brom 35%, draw 26%, Southampton 39%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: West Brom 1–1 Southampton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
West Brom35%fair 2.89 · @2.75
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.30
Southampton39%fair 2.55 · @2.48
2.64Expected goals
1.32West Brom xG
1.33Southampton xG
61%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: West Brom 1.3 – 1.3 Southampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southampton to win✗
39%
2.55
2.48
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.70
Draw no bet
Southampton (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
West Brom +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
First team to score
Southampton to score first✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southampton / FT Southampton✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.13
–
Recent results
West Brom – last 2
DL
24 Feb
vs Charlton
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Coventry
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Southampton – last 3
WWD
8 Mar
@ Fulham
1–0
W
24 Feb
vs QPR
5–0
W
21 Feb
vs Charlton
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between West Brom and Southampton.
What is the prediction for West Brom vs Southampton?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win West Brom vs Southampton?
On our numbers West Brom have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Southampton 39%.
How many goals will there be in West Brom vs Southampton?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for West Brom vs Southampton?
Our predicted score is West Brom 1–1 Southampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is West Brom vs Southampton?
West Brom vs Southampton (Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Hawthorns.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Oxford United1
Coventry3