Value bet: Oxford United to win @ 2.68 – our chance 44% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOxford United to win ✓44% · @2.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.96
Oxford United vs Blackburn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Oxford United welcome Blackburn to Kassam Stadium for a Championship fixture on Wednesday 11 March (20:45 WAT).
Current form
Oxford United, last 4: WLDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Preston, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Blackburn, last 4: DLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Portsmouth, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oxford United 1.5 xG, Blackburn 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oxford United 44%, draw 26%, Blackburn 30%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Oxford United to win @2.68 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oxford United 1–0 Blackburn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oxford United44%fair 2.29 · @2.68
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.10
Blackburn30%fair 3.30 · @2.68
2.42Expected goals
1.47Oxford United xG
0.95Blackburn xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Oxford United 1.5 – 1.0 Blackburn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oxford United to win✓
44%
2.29
2.68 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.90
Draw no bet
Oxford United (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Blackburn +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
1.06
First team to score
Oxford United to score first✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oxford United / FT Oxford United✓
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.96
–
Recent results
Oxford United – last 4
WLDL
6 Mar
@ Preston
3–1
W
25 Feb
@ Stoke City
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Middlesbrough
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Sunderland
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Blackburn – last 4
DLLW
7 Mar
vs Portsmouth
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Derby
1–3
L
24 Feb
vs Bristol City
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Preston
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oxford United and Blackburn.
What is the prediction for Oxford United vs Blackburn?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Oxford United vs Blackburn?
On our numbers Oxford United have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Blackburn 30%.
How many goals will there be in Oxford United vs Blackburn?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oxford United vs Blackburn?
Our predicted score is Oxford United 1–0 Blackburn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Oxford United vs Blackburn?
Oxford United vs Blackburn (Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Kassam Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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