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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Barnsley v Plymouth: numbers & prediction

League One · England · Oakwell

Barnsley

DDDLW
0–3
FT

Plymouth

LWWLW
Barnsley 31%Draw 24%Plymouth 44% Expected goals 1.26 – 1.63
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultPlymouth to win ✓44% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.75

Barnsley vs Plymouth: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Plymouth travel to face Barnsley on Monday 6 April in the League One, with Oakwell the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Barnsley are 23rd, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 12 matches; Plymouth are 5th (upper half) with 23. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Barnsley, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Burton Albion, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Plymouth, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bolton, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Momentum favours Plymouth, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Barnsley.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Barnsley 1.3 xG, Plymouth 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Barnsley 31%, draw 24%, Plymouth 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barnsley 1–1 Plymouth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Barnsley31%fair 3.21 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.60
Plymouth44%fair 2.25 · @2.18
2.89Expected goals
1.26Barnsley xG
1.63Plymouth xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–27%
2–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: Barnsley 1.3 – 1.6 Plymouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

BarnsleyPlymouth
Attack vs League One average-21%+15%
Goals conceded vs average+14%-3%
Our expected goals here1.141.59

Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPlymouth to win ✓44%2.252.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.671.55
Draw no betPlymouth (draw no bet) ✓59%1.70–
Asian handicapBarnsley +1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.511.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.221.17
First team to scorePlymouth to score first ✓53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Plymouth / FT Plymouth ✓28%3.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.75–

Recent results

Barnsley – last 6

DDDLWL
3 Apr@ Burton Albion1–1D
17 Marvs Wigan1–1D
10 Marvs Cardiff1–1D
3 Marvs Wycombe0–1L
28 Feb@ Leyton Orient3–1W
21 Feb@ Huddersfield1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Plymouth – last 6

LWWLWW
3 Aprvs Bolton1–2L
17 Marvs Stevenage1–0W
10 Mar@ Wigan3–0W
24 Feb@ Luton1–2L
21 Febvs Cardiff5–2W
17 Feb@ Leyton Orient3–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Barnsley and Plymouth.

Barnsley vs Plymouth head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Huddersfield14851+1629
2Stockport County14824+1226
3Oxford United13751+1126
4Luton14734+624
5Plymouth14725+223
6Reading14644+1022
7Bradford13643+222
8Cambridge United14563021
9Sheffield Wednesday13553+820
10Leicester13544+319
11Mansfield Town13544+219
12Milton Keynes Dons13463+218
13Wycombe13463-218
14Leyton Orient13526+517
15Burton Albion14455-317
16Stevenage12444+416
17Notts County12354-114
18AFC Wimbledon13346-1213
19Blackpool12336-412
20Doncaster13337-812
21Wigan14329-1111
22Peterborough13247-1210
23Barnsley12237-109
24Bromley13238-209

More League One predictions

League hub
FT AFC Wimbledon0 Luton3 126%3.10X24%3.45250%2.18 1.0–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Bolton2 Stockport County2 144%2.10X24%3.55232%3.20 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Exeter City3 Doncaster0 140%2.84X25%3.35235%2.38 1.5–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
– Leyton Orient1 Huddersfield1 133%2.98X26%3.30241%2.32 1.2–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33
FT Mansfield Town0 Burton Albion0 146%2.12X26%3.35228%3.30 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT Northampton1 Wigan3 133%3.25X28%3.20240%2.20 1.1–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✗
FT Reading1 Lincoln2 128%3.75X27%3.55245%1.92 1.2–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Stevenage1 Blackpool0 156%1.80X25%3.35219%4.60 1.6–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barnsley vs Plymouth?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Barnsley vs Plymouth?

On our numbers Barnsley have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Plymouth 44%.

How many goals will there be in Barnsley vs Plymouth?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barnsley vs Plymouth?

Our predicted score is Barnsley 1–1 Plymouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Barnsley vs Plymouth?

Barnsley vs Plymouth (League One) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Oakwell.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.