Value bet: Exeter City to win @ 2.84 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultExeter City to win ✓40% · @2.84
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.96
Exeter City vs Doncaster: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Monday 6 April: Exeter City v Doncaster in the League One, played at St James Park.
Current form
Exeter City, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Blackpool, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Doncaster, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Mansfield Town, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Doncaster, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Exeter City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Exeter City 1.5 xG, Doncaster 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Exeter City 40%, draw 25%, Doncaster 35%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Exeter City to win @2.84 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Exeter City 1–1 Doncaster. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Exeter City40%fair 2.50 · @2.84
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.35
Doncaster35%fair 2.85 · @2.38
2.64Expected goals
1.49Exeter City xG
1.15Doncaster xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Exeter City 1.5 – 1.1 Doncaster expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Exeter City
Doncaster
Attack vs League One average
-0%
-18%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
+17%
Our expected goals here
1.74
1.00
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Exeter City to win✓
40%
2.50
2.84 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.65
Draw no bet
Exeter City (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Doncaster +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
First team to score
Exeter City to score first✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Exeter City / FT Exeter City✓
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.96
–
Recent results
Exeter City – last 6
LLLDDD
3 Apr
@ Blackpool
0–1
L
17 Mar
@ Luton
2–3
L
10 Mar
vs Lincoln
0–1
L
3 Mar
vs Burton Albion
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Peterborough
3–3
D
17 Feb
vs Wycombe
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Doncaster – last 6
LWDDLW
3 Apr
vs Mansfield Town
0–2
L
24 Mar
vs Port Vale
1–0
W
17 Mar
@ Bolton
0–0
D
10 Mar
vs Luton
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Stockport County
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Rotherham
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Exeter City and Doncaster.
What is the prediction for Exeter City vs Doncaster?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Exeter City vs Doncaster?
On our numbers Exeter City have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Doncaster 35%.
How many goals will there be in Exeter City vs Doncaster?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Exeter City vs Doncaster?
Our predicted score is Exeter City 1–1 Doncaster, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Exeter City vs Doncaster?
Exeter City vs Doncaster (League One) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at St James Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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