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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Stevenage v Blackpool: numbers & prediction

League One · England · Lamex Stadium
1–0
FT
Stevenage 56%Draw 25%Blackpool 19% Expected goals 1.63 – 0.90
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultStevenage to win ✓56% · @1.80
Double chanceStevenage or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50

Stevenage vs Blackpool: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Blackpool travel to face Stevenage on Monday 6 April in the League One, with Lamex Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Stevenage are 16th, lower half, on 16 points after 12 matches; Blackpool are 19th (lower half) with 12.

Current form

Stevenage, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Rotherham, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Blackpool, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Exeter City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Blackpool, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Stevenage.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stevenage 1.6 xG, Blackpool 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stevenage 56%, draw 25%, Blackpool 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Stevenage or draw (81%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stevenage 1–0 Blackpool. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stevenage56%fair 1.79 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.35
Blackpool19%fair 5.34 · @4.60
2.53Expected goals
1.63Stevenage xG
0.90Blackpool xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Stevenage 1.6 – 0.9 Blackpool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

StevenageBlackpool
Attack vs League One average-3%-3%
Goals conceded vs average-9%+19%
Our expected goals here1.711.06

Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStevenage to win ✓56%1.791.80
Double chanceStevenage or draw ✓81%1.231.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.902.00 ▲
Draw no betStevenage (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapBlackpool +1 (Asian handicap)61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.451.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.131.06
First team to scoreStevenage to score first ✓59%1.69–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stevenage / FT Stevenage ✗33%3.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.50–

Recent results

Stevenage – last 5

DLLLW
3 Apr@ Rotherham0–0D
17 Mar@ Plymouth0–1L
10 Marvs Leyton Orient1–2L
21 Feb@ Wycombe1–3L
17 Febvs Port Vale2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Blackpool – last 5

WWLDW
3 Aprvs Exeter City1–0W
17 Marvs Port Vale3–2W
11 Mar@ AFC Wimbledon1–4L
21 Feb@ Bolton2–2D
17 Febvs Mansfield Town1–0W
1.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Stevenage and Blackpool.

Stevenage vs Blackpool head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Huddersfield14851+1629
2Stockport County14824+1226
3Oxford United13751+1126
4Luton14734+624
5Plymouth14725+223
6Reading14644+1022
7Bradford13643+222
8Cambridge United14563021
9Sheffield Wednesday13553+820
10Leicester13544+319
11Mansfield Town13544+219
12Milton Keynes Dons13463+218
13Wycombe13463-218
14Leyton Orient13526+517
15Burton Albion14455-317
16Stevenage12444+416
17Notts County12354-114
18AFC Wimbledon13346-1213
19Blackpool12336-412
20Doncaster13337-812
21Wigan14329-1111
22Peterborough13247-1210
23Barnsley12237-109
24Bromley13238-209

More League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stevenage vs Blackpool?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Stevenage vs Blackpool?

On our numbers Stevenage have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Blackpool 19%.

How many goals will there be in Stevenage vs Blackpool?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stevenage vs Blackpool?

Our predicted score is Stevenage 1–0 Blackpool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Stevenage vs Blackpool?

Stevenage vs Blackpool (League One) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Lamex Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.