Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 6 April the League One brings Mansfield Town against Burton Albion at One Call Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Mansfield Town are 11th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; Burton Albion are 15th (lower half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mansfield Town, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Doncaster, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Burton Albion, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Barnsley, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mansfield Town 1.5 xG, Burton Albion 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mansfield Town 46%, draw 26%, Burton Albion 28%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mansfield Town 1–1 Burton Albion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mansfield Town46%fair 2.18 · @2.12
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.35
Burton Albion28%fair 3.51 · @3.30
2.56Expected goals
1.49Mansfield Town xG
1.07Burton Albion xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Mansfield Town 1.5 – 1.1 Burton Albion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mansfield Town
Burton Albion
Attack vs League One average
+2%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.56
1.06
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mansfield Town to win✗
46%
2.18
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.70
Draw no bet
Mansfield Town (draw no bet)
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Burton Albion +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.11
First team to score
Mansfield Town to score first✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mansfield Town / FT Mansfield Town✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.89
–
Recent results
Mansfield Town – last 6
WDWLDL
3 Apr
@ Doncaster
2–0
W
17 Mar
@ Bradford
1–1
D
10 Mar
vs Reading
1–0
W
7 Mar
vs Arsenal
1–2
L
3 Mar
@ Rotherham
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Lincoln
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Burton Albion – last 6
DLDWDW
3 Apr
vs Barnsley
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs Reading
1–2
L
3 Mar
@ Exeter City
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Stockport County
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Luton
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Rotherham
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mansfield Town and Burton Albion.
What is the prediction for Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion?
On our numbers Mansfield Town have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Burton Albion 28%.
How many goals will there be in Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion?
Our predicted score is Mansfield Town 1–1 Burton Albion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion?
Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion (League One) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at One Call Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bolton2
Exeter City3
Northampton1
Lincoln2