Le Havre vs Toulouse: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Toulouse travel to face Le Havre on Sunday 15 February in the Ligue 1, with Stade Océane the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Le Havre are 18th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 10 matches; Toulouse are 12th (lower half) with 13.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Le Havre 1.1 xG, Toulouse 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Le Havre 30%, draw 27%, Toulouse 43%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Le Havre 1–1 Toulouse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Le Havre30%fair 3.28 · @3.15
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.05
Toulouse43%fair 2.33 · @2.34
2.57Expected goals
1.13Le Havre xG
1.44Toulouse xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Le Havre 1.1 – 1.4 Toulouse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toulouse to win✗
43%
2.33
2.34
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Draw no bet
Toulouse (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Le Havre +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.07
First team to score
Toulouse to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toulouse / FT Toulouse✗
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.16
–
Recent results
Le Havre
No recent results on record.
Toulouse
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Le Havre and Toulouse.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Le Havre vs Toulouse?
On our numbers Le Havre have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Toulouse 43%.
How many goals will there be in Le Havre vs Toulouse?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Le Havre vs Toulouse?
Our predicted score is Le Havre 1–1 Toulouse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Le Havre vs Toulouse?
Le Havre vs Toulouse (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Océane.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Metz1