Lyon welcome Nice to Parc Olympique Lyonnais for a Ligue 1 fixture on Sunday 15 February (20:45 WAT). In the table, Lyon are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Nice are 6th (upper half) with 17. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lyon 1.6 xG, Nice 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lyon 52%, draw 24%, Nice 23%.
Lower-risk option: Lyon or draw (77%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lyon 1–1 Nice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lyon52%fair 1.91 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @3.80
Nice23%fair 4.33 · @4.60
2.67Expected goals
1.60Lyon xG
1.07Nice xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lyon 1.6 – 1.1 Nice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lyon to win✓
52%
1.91
1.70
Double chance
Lyon or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.67
Draw no bet
Lyon (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Nice +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
1.15
First team to score
Lyon to score first✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lyon / FT Lyon✓
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Lyon
No recent results on record.
Nice
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lyon and Nice.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lyon vs Nice?
On our numbers Lyon have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nice 23%.
How many goals will there be in Lyon vs Nice?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lyon vs Nice?
Our predicted score is Lyon 1–1 Nice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Lyon vs Nice?
Lyon vs Nice (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Parc Olympique Lyonnais.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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