Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLorient to win ✓55% · @1.91
Double chanceLorient or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52
Lorient vs Angers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:15 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Lorient v Angers in the Ligue 1, played at Stade du Moustoir. In the table, Lorient are 10th, lower half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Angers are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lorient 1.6 xG, Angers 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lorient 55%, draw 27%, Angers 18%.
Lower-risk option: Lorient or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lorient or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lorient 1–0 Angers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lorient55%fair 1.82 · @1.91
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.15
Angers18%fair 5.43 · @4.40
2.50Expected goals
1.64Lorient xG
0.86Angers xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Lorient 1.6 – 0.9 Angers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lorient to win✓
55%
1.82
1.91
Double chance
Lorient or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Lorient (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Angers +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.06
First team to score
Lorient to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lorient / FT Lorient✓
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
Lorient
No recent results on record.
Angers
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lorient and Angers.
Our pick is Lorient or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lorient vs Angers?
On our numbers Lorient have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Angers 18%.
How many goals will there be in Lorient vs Angers?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lorient vs Angers?
Our predicted score is Lorient 1–0 Angers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lorient vs Angers?
Lorient vs Angers (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Moustoir.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Metz1