Auxerre vs Rennes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 February the Ligue 1 brings Auxerre against Rennes at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Auxerre are 14th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Rennes are 8th (upper half) with 16.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Auxerre 1.5 xG, Rennes 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Auxerre 35%, draw 24%, Rennes 41%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Auxerre 1–1 Rennes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Auxerre35%fair 2.83 · @2.98
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.30
Rennes41%fair 2.45 · @2.32
3.21Expected goals
1.54Auxerre xG
1.67Rennes xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Auxerre 1.5 – 1.7 Rennes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rennes to win✓
41%
2.45
2.32
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.65
Draw no bet
Rennes (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Auxerre +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.12
First team to score
Rennes to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rennes / FT Rennes✓
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.53
–
Recent results
Auxerre – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ Metz
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Rennes – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Paris Saint Germain
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Auxerre and Rennes.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Auxerre vs Rennes?
On our numbers Auxerre have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rennes 41%.
How many goals will there be in Auxerre vs Rennes?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auxerre vs Rennes?
Our predicted score is Auxerre 1–1 Rennes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Auxerre vs Rennes?
Auxerre vs Rennes (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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