Value bet: Lyon to win @ 2.98 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLyon to win ✗39% · @2.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Strasbourg vs Lyon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Strasbourg welcome Lyon to Stade de la Meinau for a Ligue 1 fixture on Sunday 22 February (20:45 WAT). In the table, Strasbourg are 13th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Lyon are 5th (upper half) with 17.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Strasbourg 1.4 xG, Lyon 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Strasbourg 37%, draw 24%, Lyon 39%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Lyon to win @2.98 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Strasbourg 1–1 Lyon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Strasbourg37%fair 2.68 · @2.24
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.45
Lyon39%fair 2.60 · @2.98
2.95Expected goals
1.41Strasbourg xG
1.54Lyon xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Strasbourg 1.4 – 1.5 Lyon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lyon to win✗
39%
2.60
2.98 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.60
Draw no bet
Lyon (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Strasbourg +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.14
First team to score
Lyon to score first✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lyon / FT Lyon✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.45
–
Recent results
Strasbourg
No recent results on record.
Lyon – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Nice
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Strasbourg and Lyon.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Strasbourg vs Lyon?
On our numbers Strasbourg have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lyon 39%.
How many goals will there be in Strasbourg vs Lyon?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Strasbourg vs Lyon?
Our predicted score is Strasbourg 1–1 Lyon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Strasbourg vs Lyon?
Strasbourg vs Lyon (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Meinau.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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