Value bet: Nantes to win @ 2.46 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNantes to win ✓44% · @2.46
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.79
Nantes vs Le Havre: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Le Havre travel to face Nantes on Sunday 22 February in the Ligue 1, with Stade de la Beaujoire the venue – the ball rolls at 17:15 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nantes 1.5 xG, Le Havre 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nantes 44%, draw 26%, Le Havre 30%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Nantes to win @2.46 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nantes 1–1 Le Havre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nantes44%fair 2.28 · @2.46
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.15
Le Havre30%fair 3.29 · @2.90
2.54Expected goals
1.51Nantes xG
1.03Le Havre xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Nantes 1.5 – 1.0 Le Havre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nantes to win✓
44%
2.28
2.46 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.80
Draw no bet
Nantes (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Le Havre +1 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Nantes to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nantes / FT Nantes✓
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.79
–
Recent results
Nantes – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Monaco
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Le Havre – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Toulouse
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nantes and Le Havre.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nantes vs Le Havre?
On our numbers Nantes have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Le Havre 30%.
How many goals will there be in Nantes vs Le Havre?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nantes vs Le Havre?
Our predicted score is Nantes 1–1 Le Havre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Nantes vs Le Havre?
Nantes vs Le Havre (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Beaujoire.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
