Nice welcome Lorient to Allianz Riviera for a Ligue 1 fixture on Sunday 22 February (17:15 WAT). In the table, Nice are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Lorient are 10th (lower half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nice 1.5 xG, Lorient 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nice 44%, draw 27%, Lorient 29%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nice 1–1 Lorient. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nice44%fair 2.26 · @2.08
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.40
Lorient29%fair 3.43 · @3.35
2.55Expected goals
1.47Nice xG
1.09Lorient xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Nice 1.5 – 1.1 Lorient expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nice to win✗
44%
2.26
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Draw no bet
Nice (draw no bet)
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Lorient +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
1.12
First team to score
Nice to score first
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nice / FT Nice✗
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.99
–
Recent results
Nice – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Lyon
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lorient – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Angers
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nice and Lorient.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Nice vs Lorient?
On our numbers Nice have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Lorient 29%.
How many goals will there be in Nice vs Lorient?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nice vs Lorient?
Our predicted score is Nice 1–1 Lorient, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Nice vs Lorient?
Nice vs Lorient (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Riviera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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