Lille welcome Lorient to Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy for a Ligue 1 fixture on Sunday 8 March (17:15 WAT). In the table, Lille are 2nd, among the top four, on 21 points after 10 matches; Lorient are 10th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Lille, last 4: WWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Nantes, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lorient, last 3: DDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Auxerre, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Lille, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Lorient.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lille 1.6 xG, Lorient 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lille 57%, draw 25%, Lorient 18%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lille 1–0 Lorient. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lille57%fair 1.75 · @1.49
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @4.10
Lorient18%fair 5.62 · @6.50
2.54Expected goals
1.64Lille xG
0.90Lorient xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Lille 1.6 – 0.9 Lorient expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lille to win✗
57%
1.75
1.49
Double chance
Lille or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.91
Draw no bet
Lille (draw no bet)
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Lorient +1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.12
First team to score
Lille to score first
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lille / FT Lille✗
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.47
–
Recent results
Lille – last 4
WWWL
1 Mar
vs Nantes
1–0
W
26 Feb
@ FK Crvena Zvezda
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Angers
1–0
W
19 Feb
vs FK Crvena Zvezda
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lorient – last 3
DDW
1 Mar
vs Auxerre
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Nice
3–3
D
15 Feb
vs Angers
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lille and Lorient.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Lille vs Lorient?
On our numbers Lille have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lorient 18%.
How many goals will there be in Lille vs Lorient?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lille vs Lorient?
Our predicted score is Lille 1–0 Lorient, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lille vs Lorient?
Lille vs Lorient (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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