Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Nice to win @ 2.72 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNice to win ✗41% · @2.72
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.89
Nice vs Rennes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nice welcome Rennes to Allianz Riviera for a Ligue 1 fixture on Sunday 8 March (17:15 WAT). In the table, Nice are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Rennes are 8th (upper half) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Nice, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Paris FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nice 1.7 xG, Rennes 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nice 41%, draw 24%, Rennes 35%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: Nice to win @2.72 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nice 1–1 Rennes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nice41%fair 2.43 · @2.72
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.45
Rennes35%fair 2.86 · @2.44
3.09Expected goals
1.71Nice xG
1.38Rennes xG
65%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Nice 1.7 – 1.4 Rennes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nice to win✗
41%
2.43
2.72 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.53
1.48
Draw no bet
Nice (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Rennes +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
First team to score
Nice to score first✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nice / FT Nice✗
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.89
–
Recent results
Nice – last 3
LDL
1 Mar
@ Paris FC
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Lorient
3–3
D
15 Feb
@ Lyon
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Rennes – last 2
WW
22 Feb
@ Auxerre
3–0
W
13 Feb
vs Paris Saint Germain
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nice and Rennes.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nice vs Rennes?
On our numbers Nice have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rennes 35%.
How many goals will there be in Nice vs Rennes?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nice vs Rennes?
Our predicted score is Nice 1–1 Rennes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Nice vs Rennes?
Nice vs Rennes (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Riviera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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