Lyon 52%Draw 24%Paris FC 24%Expected goals 1.58 – 1.11
75%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultLyon to win52% · @1.70
Double chanceLyon or draw76% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.64
Lyon vs Paris FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Sunday 8 March: Lyon v Paris FC in the Ligue 1, played at Parc Olympique Lyonnais. In the table, Lyon are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Paris FC are 3rd (among the top four) with 20. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lyon 1.6 xG, Paris FC 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lyon 52%, draw 24%, Paris FC 24%.
Lower-risk option: Lyon or draw (76%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lyon 1–1 Paris FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lyon52%fair 1.93 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.80
Paris FC24%fair 4.19 · @4.60
2.69Expected goals
1.58Lyon xG
1.11Paris FC xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lyon 1.6 – 1.1 Paris FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lyon to win
52%
1.93
1.70
Double chance
Lyon or draw
76%
1.31
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.74
1.75
Draw no bet
Lyon (draw no bet)
68%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Paris FC +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
51%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
85%
1.18
1.13
First team to score
Lyon to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lyon / FT Lyon
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.64
–
Recent results
Lyon – last 2
LW
22 Feb
@ Strasbourg
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Nice
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Paris FC – last 1
W
1 Mar
vs Nice
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lyon and Paris FC.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lyon vs Paris FC?
On our numbers Lyon have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Paris FC 24%.
How many goals will there be in Lyon vs Paris FC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lyon vs Paris FC?
Our predicted score is Lyon 1–1 Paris FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Lyon vs Paris FC?
Lyon vs Paris FC (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Parc Olympique Lyonnais.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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