Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultMonaco to win ✗66% · @1.54
Double chanceMonaco or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Monaco vs Auxerre: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Monaco v Auxerre in the Ligue 1, played at Stade Louis II. In the table, Monaco are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Auxerre are 14th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Monaco, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Paris FC, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Auxerre, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Le Havre, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Monaco, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Auxerre.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monaco 2.3 xG, Auxerre 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monaco 66%, draw 19%, Auxerre 15%.
Lower-risk option: Monaco or draw (85%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monaco 2–0 Auxerre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monaco66%fair 1.52 · @1.54
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @4.20
Auxerre15%fair 6.79 · @5.60
3.18Expected goals
2.25Monaco xG
0.93Auxerre xG
58%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Monaco 2.3 – 0.9 Auxerre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Monaco
Auxerre
Attack vs Ligue 1 average
+6%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
+30%
Our expected goals here
2.72
1.05
Our own ratings from every Ligue 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monaco to win✗
66%
1.52
1.54
Double chance
Monaco or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.73
Draw no bet
Monaco (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Monaco -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
First team to score
Monaco to score first✗
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Monaco ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monaco / FT Monaco✗
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Monaco – last 6
LWWWDW
10 Apr
@ Paris FC
1–4
L
5 Apr
vs Marseille
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Lyon
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Paris Saint Germain
3–1
W
25 Feb
@ Paris Saint Germain
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Lens
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Auxerre – last 5
DLDLW
5 Apr
@ Le Havre
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Marseille
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Lorient
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Rennes
0–3
L
15 Feb
@ Metz
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monaco and Auxerre.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Monaco vs Auxerre?
On our numbers Monaco have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Auxerre 15%.
How many goals will there be in Monaco vs Auxerre?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monaco vs Auxerre?
Our predicted score is Monaco 2–0 Auxerre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Monaco vs Auxerre?
Monaco vs Auxerre (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Louis II.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Metz1
Nantes1