Value bet: Stade Brestois 29 to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultNantes to win38% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.86
Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 April the Ligue 1 brings Nantes against Stade Brestois 29 at Stade de la Beaujoire. Kick-off: 16:15 WAT.
Current form
Nantes, last 4: DLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Metz, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Stade Brestois 29, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Le Havre, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Stade Brestois 29, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Nantes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nantes 1.4 xG, Stade Brestois 29 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nantes 38%, draw 26%, Stade Brestois 29 35%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Stade Brestois 29 to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nantes 1–1 Stade Brestois 29. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nantes38%fair 2.61 · @2.32
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.15
Stade Brestois 2935%fair 2.83 · @3.10
2.65Expected goals
1.36Nantes xG
1.29Stade Brestois 29 xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nantes 1.4 – 1.3 Stade Brestois 29 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
Attack vs Ligue 1 average
-15%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-11%
Our expected goals here
1.43
1.34
Our own ratings from every Ligue 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nantes to win
38%
2.61
2.32
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.75
1.80
Draw no bet
Nantes (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Stade Brestois 29 +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Nantes to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nantes / FT Nantes
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
11.86
–
Recent results
Nantes – last 4
DLWL
5 Apr
@ Metz
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Lille
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Le Havre
2–0
W
13 Feb
@ Monaco
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Stade Brestois 29 – last 3
WWW
8 Mar
vs Le Havre
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Metz
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Marseille
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nantes and Stade Brestois 29.
What is the prediction for Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29?
On our numbers Nantes have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Stade Brestois 29 35%.
How many goals will there be in Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our predicted score is Nantes 1–1 Stade Brestois 29, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29?
Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29 (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Beaujoire.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Metz1