Albacete vs Sporting Gijon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 February the Segunda División brings Albacete against Sporting Gijon at Estadio Carlos Belmonte. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Albacete are 21st, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 13 matches; Sporting Gijon are 7th (upper half) with 22. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Albacete 1.3 xG, Sporting Gijon 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Albacete 39%, draw 27%, Sporting Gijon 34%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albacete 1–1 Sporting Gijon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Albacete39%fair 2.58 · @2.34
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.10
Sporting Gijon34%fair 2.92 · @3.10
2.60Expected goals
1.32Albacete xG
1.28Sporting Gijon xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Albacete 1.3 – 1.3 Sporting Gijon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Albacete
Sporting Gijon
Attack vs Segunda División average
-13%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
+18%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.25
1.29
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albacete to win✗
39%
2.58
2.34
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.70
Draw no bet
Albacete (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Sporting Gijon +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.10
First team to score
Albacete to score first✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albacete / FT Albacete✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.07
–
Recent results
Albacete
No recent results on record.
Sporting Gijon
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albacete and Sporting Gijon.
What is the prediction for Albacete vs Sporting Gijon?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Albacete vs Sporting Gijon?
On our numbers Albacete have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sporting Gijon 34%.
How many goals will there be in Albacete vs Sporting Gijon?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albacete vs Sporting Gijon?
Our predicted score is Albacete 1–1 Sporting Gijon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Albacete vs Sporting Gijon?
Albacete vs Sporting Gijon (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Belmonte.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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