Castellón vs Deportivo La Coruna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo La Coruna travel to face Castellón on Sunday 15 February in the Segunda División, with Estadio SkyFi Castalia the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Castellón 1.8 xG, Deportivo La Coruna 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Castellón 60%, draw 24%, Deportivo La Coruna 17%.
Lower-risk option: Castellón or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Castellón 2–0 Deportivo La Coruna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Castellón60%fair 1.68 · @1.69
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.65
Deportivo La Coruna17%fair 6.02 · @4.90
2.61Expected goals
1.81Castellón xG
0.80Deportivo La Coruna xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Castellón 1.8 – 0.8 Deportivo La Coruna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Castellón
Deportivo La Coruna
Attack vs Segunda División average
+29%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
-43%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.71
0.71
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castellón to win✓
60%
1.68
1.69
Double chance
Castellón or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.73
Draw no bet
Castellón (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Castellón -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.13
First team to score
Castellón to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Castellón ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castellón / FT Castellón✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.38
–
Recent results
Castellón
No recent results on record.
Deportivo La Coruna
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castellón and Deportivo La Coruna.
What is the prediction for Castellón vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Castellón vs Deportivo La Coruna?
On our numbers Castellón have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo La Coruna 17%.
How many goals will there be in Castellón vs Deportivo La Coruna?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castellón vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our predicted score is Castellón 2–0 Deportivo La Coruna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Castellón vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Castellón vs Deportivo La Coruna (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio SkyFi Castalia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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