Value bet: Huesca to win @ 2.20 – our chance 48% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHuesca to win ✓48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Huesca vs AD Ceuta FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:15 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Huesca v AD Ceuta FC in the Segunda División, played at Estadio El Alcoraz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Huesca 1.6 xG, AD Ceuta FC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Huesca 48%, draw 26%, AD Ceuta FC 26%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Huesca to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Huesca 1–0 AD Ceuta FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Huesca48%fair 2.07 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.05
AD Ceuta FC26%fair 3.85 · @3.45
2.58Expected goals
1.61Huesca xG
0.97AD Ceuta FC xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Huesca 1.6 – 1.0 AD Ceuta FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Huesca
AD Ceuta FC
Attack vs Segunda División average
-10%
-31%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
+35%
Our expected goals here
1.90
0.93
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Huesca to win✓
48%
2.07
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.91
Draw no bet
Huesca (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
AD Ceuta FC +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.06
First team to score
Huesca to score first✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Huesca / FT Huesca✗
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Huesca
No recent results on record.
AD Ceuta FC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Huesca and AD Ceuta FC.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Huesca vs AD Ceuta FC?
On our numbers Huesca have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and AD Ceuta FC 26%.
How many goals will there be in Huesca vs AD Ceuta FC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Huesca vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our predicted score is Huesca 1–0 AD Ceuta FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Huesca vs AD Ceuta FC?
Huesca vs AD Ceuta FC (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Alcoraz.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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