Value bet: Mirandes to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLas Palmas to win ✗38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.58
Mirandes vs Las Palmas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mirandes welcome Las Palmas to Estadio Municipal de Anduva for a Segunda División fixture on Sunday 15 February (14:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mirandes 1.4 xG, Las Palmas 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mirandes 36%, draw 26%, Las Palmas 38%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Mirandes to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mirandes 1–1 Las Palmas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mirandes36%fair 2.80 · @3.25
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.05
Las Palmas38%fair 2.63 · @2.30
2.63Expected goals
1.35Mirandes xG
1.28Las Palmas xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Mirandes 1.4 – 1.3 Las Palmas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mirandes
Las Palmas
Attack vs Segunda División average
-2%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
+12%
Our expected goals here
1.71
1.40
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Las Palmas to win✗
38%
2.63
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Las Palmas (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Las Palmas +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.05
First team to score
Mirandes to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mirandes / FT Mirandes✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.58
–
Recent results
Mirandes
No recent results on record.
Las Palmas
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mirandes and Las Palmas.
What is the prediction for Mirandes vs Las Palmas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Mirandes vs Las Palmas?
On our numbers Mirandes have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Las Palmas 38%.
How many goals will there be in Mirandes vs Las Palmas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mirandes vs Las Palmas?
Our predicted score is Mirandes 1–1 Las Palmas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mirandes vs Las Palmas?
Mirandes vs Las Palmas (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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