Value bet: Cadiz to win @ 3.25 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAD Ceuta FC to win ✓41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.17
AD Ceuta FC vs Cadiz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Saturday 28 March: AD Ceuta FC v Cadiz in the Segunda División, played at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube. In the table, AD Ceuta FC are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 13 matches; Cadiz are 20th (in the drop zone) with 10.
Current form
AD Ceuta FC, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Las Palmas, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Cadiz, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Mirandes, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours AD Ceuta FC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Cadiz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AD Ceuta FC 1.3 xG, Cadiz 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AD Ceuta FC 41%, draw 26%, Cadiz 33%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Cadiz to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Cadiz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AD Ceuta FC41%fair 2.46 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.25
Cadiz33%fair 3.03 · @3.25
2.55Expected goals
1.30AD Ceuta FC xG
1.26Cadiz xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: AD Ceuta FC 1.3 – 1.3 Cadiz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
AD Ceuta FC
Cadiz
Attack vs Segunda División average
-31%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
+35%
+12%
Our expected goals here
1.21
1.36
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AD Ceuta FC to win✓
41%
2.46
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.77
Draw no bet
AD Ceuta FC (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Cadiz +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
AD Ceuta FC to score first✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AD Ceuta FC / FT AD Ceuta FC✓
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.17
–
Recent results
AD Ceuta FC – last 5
LWWWL
8 Mar
@ Las Palmas
0–4
L
1 Mar
@ Mirandes
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Cordoba
3–2
W
20 Feb
vs Granada CF
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Huesca
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Cadiz – last 3
WLL
13 Mar
@ Mirandes
2–0
W
6 Mar
vs Zaragoza
0–1
L
23 Feb
vs Real Sociedad II
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AD Ceuta FC and Cadiz.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Cadiz?
On our numbers AD Ceuta FC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cadiz 33%.
How many goals will there be in AD Ceuta FC vs Cadiz?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Ceuta FC vs Cadiz?
Our predicted score is AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Cadiz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is AD Ceuta FC vs Cadiz?
AD Ceuta FC vs Cadiz (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Huesca
Malaga
Deportivo La Coruna