Sporting Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo La Coruna travel to face Sporting Gijon on Saturday 28 March in the Segunda División, with Estadio Municipal El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT.
Current form
Sporting Gijon, last 4: LDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Andorra, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Deportivo La Coruna, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Real Sociedad II, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Deportivo La Coruna, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Sporting Gijon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Gijon 1.3 xG, Deportivo La Coruna 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Gijon 38%, draw 28%, Deportivo La Coruna 34%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Gijon 1–1 Deportivo La Coruna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting Gijon38%fair 2.62 · @2.44
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @3.05
Deportivo La Coruna34%fair 2.95 · @2.98
2.45Expected goals
1.27Sporting Gijon xG
1.18Deportivo La Coruna xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sporting Gijon 1.3 – 1.2 Deportivo La Coruna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sporting Gijon
Deportivo La Coruna
Attack vs Segunda División average
-8%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.23
1.15
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Gijon to win
38%
2.62
2.44
Double chance
Either team to win
72%
1.39
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.77
1.85
Draw no bet
Sporting Gijon (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo La Coruna +0.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.46
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.12
1.06
First team to score
Sporting Gijon to score first
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Gijon / FT Sporting Gijon
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.20
–
Recent results
Sporting Gijon – last 4
LDDD
8 Mar
@ FC Andorra
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Leganes
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Valladolid
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Albacete
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Deportivo La Coruna – last 3
WWL
1 Mar
@ Real Sociedad II
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs Eibar
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Castellón
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Gijon and Deportivo La Coruna.
What is the prediction for Sporting Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna?
On our numbers Sporting Gijon have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Deportivo La Coruna 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our predicted score is Sporting Gijon 1–1 Deportivo La Coruna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sporting Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Sporting Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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