Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultCastellón to win ✓47% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Castellón vs Almeria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Almeria travel to face Castellón on Thursday 2 April in the Segunda División, with Estadio SkyFi Castalia the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Castellón are 2nd, among the top four, on 27 points after 12 matches; Almeria are 1st (leading the league) with 29. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Almeria, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Real Sociedad II, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Castellón 1.7 xG, Almeria 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Castellón 47%, draw 25%, Almeria 28%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Castellón 1–1 Almeria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Castellón47%fair 2.12 · @1.96
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.70
Almeria28%fair 3.54 · @3.45
2.81Expected goals
1.68Castellón xG
1.14Almeria xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Castellón 1.7 – 1.1 Almeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Castellón
Almeria
Attack vs Segunda División average
+29%
+32%
Goals conceded vs average
-43%
-26%
Our expected goals here
1.50
0.89
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castellón to win✓
47%
2.12
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.48
Draw no bet
Castellón (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Almeria +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.22
First team to score
Castellón to score first✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castellón / FT Castellón✓
30%
3.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Castellón – last 2
DW
23 Mar
vs Cultural Leonesa
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Deportivo La Coruna
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Almeria – last 5
WWWDW
29 Mar
vs Real Sociedad II
5–1
W
20 Mar
@ Huesca
3–1
W
9 Mar
vs Cultural Leonesa
3–0
W
27 Feb
@ Albacete
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs FC Andorra
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castellón and Almeria.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Castellón vs Almeria?
On our numbers Castellón have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Almeria 28%.
How many goals will there be in Castellón vs Almeria?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castellón vs Almeria?
Our predicted score is Castellón 1–1 Almeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Castellón vs Almeria?
Castellón vs Almeria (Segunda División) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio SkyFi Castalia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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