Value bet: Eibar to win @ 2.68 – our chance 42% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEibar to win ✓42% · @2.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.21
Real Sociedad II vs Eibar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 2 April the Segunda División brings Real Sociedad II against Eibar at Zubieta Real Sociedad. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Real Sociedad II are 17th, lower half, on 12 points after 13 matches; Eibar are 4th (among the top four) with 23.
Current form
Real Sociedad II, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Almeria, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Eibar, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Las Palmas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Eibar, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Real Sociedad II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Sociedad II 1.1 xG, Eibar 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Sociedad II 32%, draw 26%, Eibar 42%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Eibar to win @2.68 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Sociedad II 1–1 Eibar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Sociedad II32%fair 3.14 · @2.68
Draw26%fair 3.77 · @3.10
Eibar42%fair 2.40 · @2.68
2.54Expected goals
1.12Real Sociedad II xG
1.42Eibar xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Real Sociedad II 1.1 – 1.4 Eibar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Real Sociedad II
Eibar
Attack vs Segunda División average
-11%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
-21%
Our expected goals here
1.10
1.58
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Eibar to win✓
42%
2.40
2.68 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.83
Draw no bet
Eibar (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Real Sociedad II +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.07
First team to score
Eibar to score first✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Eibar / FT Eibar✓
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.21
–
Recent results
Real Sociedad II – last 6
LLWWLW
29 Mar
@ Almeria
1–5
L
22 Mar
vs Granada CF
0–2
L
18 Mar
@ Crystal Palace U21
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Cordoba
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Deportivo La Coruna
2–3
L
23 Feb
@ Cadiz
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Eibar – last 5
WDWLW
29 Mar
vs Las Palmas
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs Burgos
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Leganes
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Deportivo La Coruna
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Racing Santander
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Sociedad II and Eibar.
What is the prediction for Real Sociedad II vs Eibar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Real Sociedad II vs Eibar?
On our numbers Real Sociedad II have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Eibar 42%.
How many goals will there be in Real Sociedad II vs Eibar?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Sociedad II vs Eibar?
Our predicted score is Real Sociedad II 1–1 Eibar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Real Sociedad II vs Eibar?
Real Sociedad II vs Eibar (Segunda División) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Zubieta Real Sociedad.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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