Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultLeganes to win ✗48% · @1.93
Double chanceLeganes or draw ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.95
Leganes vs Zaragoza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:30 WAT, Thursday 2 April: Leganes v Zaragoza in the Segunda División, played at Estadio Municipal de Butarque.
Current form
Leganes, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Eibar, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Zaragoza, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Racing Santander, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Zaragoza, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Leganes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leganes 1.3 xG, Zaragoza 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leganes 48%, draw 27%, Zaragoza 25%.
Lower-risk option: Leganes or draw (75%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leganes 1–1 Zaragoza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leganes48%fair 2.08 · @1.93
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.25
Zaragoza25%fair 3.95 · @4.10
2.30Expected goals
1.28Leganes xG
1.03Zaragoza xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Leganes 1.3 – 1.0 Zaragoza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Leganes
Zaragoza
Attack vs Segunda División average
-30%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
+20%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.12
1.18
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leganes to win✗
48%
2.08
1.93
Double chance
Leganes or draw✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.91
Draw no bet
Leganes (draw no bet)
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Zaragoza +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.07
First team to score
Leganes to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leganes / FT Leganes✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.95
–
Recent results
Leganes – last 3
LDD
8 Mar
vs Eibar
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Sporting Gijon
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Cultural Leonesa
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Zaragoza – last 3
WWL
29 Mar
vs Racing Santander
2–0
W
6 Mar
@ Cadiz
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ FC Andorra
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leganes and Zaragoza.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Leganes vs Zaragoza?
On our numbers Leganes have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Zaragoza 25%.
How many goals will there be in Leganes vs Zaragoza?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leganes vs Zaragoza?
Our predicted score is Leganes 1–1 Zaragoza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Leganes vs Zaragoza?
Leganes vs Zaragoza (Segunda División) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
