Las Palmas vs Granada CF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Las Palmas welcome Granada CF to Estadio de Gran Canaria for a Segunda División fixture on Thursday 2 April (18:00 WAT). In the table, Las Palmas are 10th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Granada CF are 5th (upper half) with 23. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Las Palmas, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Eibar, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Granada CF, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Real Sociedad II, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Las Palmas 1.5 xG, Granada CF 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Las Palmas 50%, draw 25%, Granada CF 25%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Las Palmas 1–1 Granada CF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Las Palmas50%fair 2.01 · @1.93
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.25
Granada CF25%fair 3.93 · @4.10
2.61Expected goals
1.48Las Palmas xG
1.13Granada CF xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Las Palmas 1.5 – 1.1 Granada CF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Las Palmas
Granada CF
Attack vs Segunda División average
+8%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
+12%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.56
1.47
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Las Palmas to win✓
50%
2.01
1.93
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.91
Draw no bet
Las Palmas (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Granada CF +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Las Palmas to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Las Palmas / FT Las Palmas✗
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.01
–
Recent results
Las Palmas – last 5
LLWWD
29 Mar
@ Eibar
1–3
L
16 Mar
@ Albacete
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs AD Ceuta FC
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Cultural Leonesa
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Mirandes
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Granada CF – last 3
WDL
22 Mar
@ Real Sociedad II
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs FC Andorra
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ AD Ceuta FC
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Las Palmas and Granada CF.
What is the prediction for Las Palmas vs Granada CF?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Granada CF?
On our numbers Las Palmas have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Granada CF 25%.
How many goals will there be in Las Palmas vs Granada CF?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Las Palmas vs Granada CF?
Our predicted score is Las Palmas 1–1 Granada CF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Las Palmas vs Granada CF?
Las Palmas vs Granada CF (Segunda División) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Gran Canaria.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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