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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Valladolid v Zaragoza: numbers & prediction

Segunda División · Spain · Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla

Valladolid

LDWLD
Sat 9 May 2026

Zaragoza

LLDWW
Valladolid 49%Draw 25%Zaragoza 26% Expected goals 1.60 – 1.03
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.28

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultValladolid to win49% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.51

Valladolid vs Zaragoza: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:30 WAT, Saturday 9 May: Valladolid v Zaragoza in the Segunda División, played at Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla.

Current form

Valladolid, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Andorra, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Zaragoza, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Granada CF, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Valladolid 1.6 xG, Zaragoza 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Valladolid 49%, draw 25%, Zaragoza 26%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valladolid 1–1 Zaragoza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Valladolid49%fair 2.02 · @2.08
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.30
Zaragoza26%fair 3.87 · @3.50
2.63Expected goals
1.60Valladolid xG
1.03Zaragoza xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%

From our goals model: Valladolid 1.6 – 1.0 Zaragoza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

ValladolidZaragoza
Attack vs Segunda División average+15%-16%
Goals conceded vs average+10%+3%
Our expected goals here1.841.09

Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultValladolid to win49%2.022.08
Double chanceEither team to win75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score56%1.801.75
Draw no betValladolid (draw no bet)66%1.52–
Asian handicapZaragoza +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.381.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals52%1.931.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals73%1.371.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals87%1.151.09
First team to scoreValladolid to score first57%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Valladolid / FT Valladolid31%3.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.51–

Recent results

Valladolid – last 5

LDWLD
19 Apr@ FC Andorra0–1L
13 Aprvs Eibar0–0D
31 Marvs Cadiz3–0W
22 Mar@ Mirandes1–2L
22 Feb@ Sporting Gijon2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Zaragoza – last 6

LLDWWL
1 Mayvs Granada CF0–1L
5 Aprvs Mirandes1–2L
2 Apr@ Leganes1–1D
29 Marvs Racing Santander2–0W
6 Mar@ Cadiz1–0W
22 Feb@ FC Andorra1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Valladolid and Zaragoza.

Valladolid vs Zaragoza head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Almeria13922+1429
2Castellón12831+1827
3Burgos13733+524
4Eibar12723+723
5Granada CF12723+623
6Mallorca12642+822
7Sporting Gijon13715-122
8Girona13634+1021
9Oviedo13634+321
10Las Palmas13625-220
11Cordoba13616019
12Valladolid13535+218
13Sabadell13463+118
14Tenerife12363-215
15Eldense13427-614
16Celta de Vigo II13346-613
17Real Sociedad II13337-712
18Leganes13337-1212
19FC Andorra12327-511
20Cadiz13247-210
21Albacete13319-1110
22AD Ceuta FC131210-205

More Segunda División predictions

League hub
FT AD Ceuta FC1 Castellón1 115%4.70X21%4.00264%1.64 0.8–2.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.57 ✓
– Burgos Almeria 135%2.74X27%3.25238%2.50 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30
– Albacete Cultural Leonesa 144%2.20X27%3.15229%3.35 1.5–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28
– Malaga Sporting Gijon 158%1.53X24%4.10219%5.75 1.7–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Valladolid vs Zaragoza?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Valladolid vs Zaragoza?

On our numbers Valladolid have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Zaragoza 26%.

How many goals will there be in Valladolid vs Zaragoza?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Valladolid vs Zaragoza?

Our predicted score is Valladolid 1–1 Zaragoza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Valladolid vs Zaragoza?

Valladolid vs Zaragoza (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.