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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Las Palmas v Zaragoza: numbers & prediction

Segunda División · Spain · Estadio de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas

LWWWW
1–1
FT

Zaragoza

LLLDW
Las Palmas 61%Draw 23%Zaragoza 16% Expected goals 1.75 – 0.91
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultLas Palmas to win ✗61% · @1.39
Double chanceLas Palmas or draw ✓84% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26

Las Palmas vs Zaragoza: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Las Palmas welcome Zaragoza to Estadio de Gran Canaria for a Segunda División fixture on Sunday 24 May (17:30 WAT).

Current form

Las Palmas, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to FC Andorra, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Zaragoza, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Sporting Gijon, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Las Palmas, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Zaragoza.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Las Palmas 1.8 xG, Zaragoza 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Las Palmas 61%, draw 23%, Zaragoza 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Las Palmas 1–1 Zaragoza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Las Palmas61%fair 1.64 · @1.39
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @4.35
Zaragoza16%fair 6.29 · @8.20
2.66Expected goals
1.75Las Palmas xG
0.91Zaragoza xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%

From our goals model: Las Palmas 1.8 – 0.9 Zaragoza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Las PalmasZaragoza
Attack vs Segunda División average+8%-16%
Goals conceded vs average+12%+3%
Our expected goals here1.741.10

Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLas Palmas to win ✗61%1.641.39
Double chanceLas Palmas or draw ✓84%1.191.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.851.95 ▲
Draw no betLas Palmas (draw no bet)79%1.26–
Asian handicapZaragoza +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.421.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.181.14
First team to scoreLas Palmas to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Las Palmas / FT Las Palmas ✗36%2.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.26–

Recent results

Las Palmas – last 6

LWWWWL
10 May@ FC Andorra1–5L
27 Apr@ Cadiz2–1W
17 Aprvs Leganes2–0W
5 Aprvs Huesca2–1W
2 Aprvs Granada CF2–0W
29 Mar@ Eibar1–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Zaragoza – last 6

LLLDWW
17 Mayvs Sporting Gijon1–3L
1 Mayvs Granada CF0–1L
5 Aprvs Mirandes1–2L
2 Apr@ Leganes1–1D
29 Marvs Racing Santander2–0W
6 Mar@ Cadiz1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Las Palmas and Zaragoza.

Las Palmas vs Zaragoza head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Almeria13922+1429
2Castellón12831+1827
3Burgos13733+524
4Eibar12723+723
5Granada CF12723+623
6Mallorca12642+822
7Sporting Gijon13715-122
8Girona13634+1021
9Oviedo13634+321
10Las Palmas13625-220
11Cordoba13616019
12Valladolid13535+218
13Sabadell13463+118
14Tenerife12363-215
15Eldense13427-614
16Celta de Vigo II13346-613
17Real Sociedad II13337-712
18Leganes13337-1212
19FC Andorra12327-511
20Cadiz13247-210
21Albacete13319-1110
22AD Ceuta FC131210-205

More Segunda División predictions

League hub
FT Albacete3 Real Sociedad II1 152%1.85X23%3.75224%3.80 1.7–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Huesca0 Castellón1 118%4.65X23%3.95259%1.66 0.9–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✗
FT Sporting Gijon3 Almeria1 123%4.30X25%3.95253%1.72 1.2–1.7xG X2Almeria or draw 77%@1.20 ✗
FT Cadiz3 Leganes0 147%2.20X26%3.30228%3.20 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT Malaga1 Racing Santander1 156%1.64X22%4.30222%4.40 2.0–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.38 ✗
FT Mirandes3 Granada CF1 155%1.44X24%4.30221%7.10 1.6–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Valladolid0 Deportivo La Coruna2 125%5.10X24%3.85251%1.63 1.2–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Cultural Leonesa0 Burgos2 130%3.00X28%3.15243%2.40 1.0–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Las Palmas vs Zaragoza?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Las Palmas vs Zaragoza?

On our numbers Las Palmas have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Zaragoza 16%.

How many goals will there be in Las Palmas vs Zaragoza?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Las Palmas vs Zaragoza?

Our predicted score is Las Palmas 1–1 Zaragoza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Las Palmas vs Zaragoza?

Las Palmas vs Zaragoza (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Gran Canaria.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.