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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Malaga v Racing Santander: numbers & prediction

Segunda División · Spain · Estadio La Rosaleda

Malaga

DWWL
1–1
FT

Racing Santander

WWWLW
Malaga 56%Draw 22%Racing Santander 22% Expected goals 2.03 – 1.28
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.38 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.38Odds

Picks by market

ResultMalaga to win ✗56% · @1.64
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39

Malaga vs Racing Santander: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:30 WAT, Sunday 24 May: Malaga v Racing Santander in the Segunda División, played at Estadio La Rosaleda.

Current form

Malaga, last 4: DWWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with FC Andorra, away. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Racing Santander, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Leganes, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Malaga 2.0 xG, Racing Santander 1.3 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Malaga 56%, draw 22%, Racing Santander 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malaga 2–1 Racing Santander. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Malaga56%fair 1.80 · @1.64
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @4.30
Racing Santander22%fair 4.46 · @4.40
3.31Expected goals
2.03Malaga xG
1.28Racing Santander xG
64%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Malaga 2.0 – 1.3 Racing Santander expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

MalagaRacing Santander
Attack vs Segunda División average+5%+30%
Goals conceded vs average-18%+14%
Our expected goals here1.881.26

Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMalaga to win ✗56%1.801.64
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.40
Draw no betMalaga (draw no bet)71%1.40–
Asian handicapRacing Santander +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.191.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66%1.511.38
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.831.83
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.371.35
First team to scoreMalaga to score first ✓59%1.69–
Half-time resultMalaga ahead at half-time ✓41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Malaga / FT Malaga ✗34%2.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.39–

Recent results

Malaga – last 4

DWWL
1 Apr@ FC Andorra3–3D
15 Marvs Huesca5–3W
22 Febvs Albacete1–0W
16 Feb@ Real Sociedad II1–2L
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Racing Santander – last 6

WWWLWL
10 May@ Leganes2–1W
3 Mayvs Huesca4–2W
17 Apr@ Real Sociedad II3–1W
5 Apr@ FC Andorra2–6L
1 Aprvs Sporting Gijon3–1W
29 Mar@ Zaragoza0–2L
2.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Malaga and Racing Santander.

Malaga vs Racing Santander head-to-head page →

More Segunda División predictions

League hub
FT Albacete3 Real Sociedad II1 152%1.85X23%3.75224%3.80 1.7–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Huesca0 Castellón1 118%4.65X23%3.95259%1.66 0.9–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✗
FT Las Palmas1 Zaragoza1 161%1.39X23%4.35216%8.20 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Sporting Gijon3 Almeria1 123%4.30X25%3.95253%1.72 1.2–1.7xG X2Almeria or draw 77%@1.20 ✗
FT Cadiz3 Leganes0 147%2.20X26%3.30228%3.20 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT Mirandes3 Granada CF1 155%1.44X24%4.30221%7.10 1.6–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Valladolid0 Deportivo La Coruna2 125%5.10X24%3.85251%1.63 1.2–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Cultural Leonesa0 Burgos2 130%3.00X28%3.15243%2.40 1.0–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Malaga vs Racing Santander?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Malaga vs Racing Santander?

On our numbers Malaga have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Racing Santander 22%.

How many goals will there be in Malaga vs Racing Santander?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Malaga vs Racing Santander?

Our predicted score is Malaga 2–1 Racing Santander, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Malaga vs Racing Santander?

Malaga vs Racing Santander (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Rosaleda.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.