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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sporting Gijon v Almeria: numbers & prediction

Segunda División · Spain · Estadio Municipal El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini

Sporting Gijon

WLWWL
3–1
FT

Almeria

WWLWW
Sporting Gijon 23%Draw 25%Almeria 53% Expected goals 1.15 – 1.73
77%
Betarazi pick

Almeria or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlmeria to win ✗53% · @1.72
Double chanceAlmeria or draw ✗77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.36

Sporting Gijon vs Almeria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Almeria travel to face Sporting Gijon on Sunday 24 May in the Segunda División, with Estadio Municipal El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Sporting Gijon are 7th, upper half, on 22 points after 13 matches; Almeria are 1st (leading the league) with 29.

Current form

Sporting Gijon, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Zaragoza, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Almeria, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Mirandes, at home. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Almeria, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Sporting Gijon.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Gijon 1.2 xG, Almeria 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Gijon 23%, draw 25%, Almeria 53%.
  • Lower-risk option: Almeria or draw (77%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Almeria or draw (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Gijon 1–1 Almeria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sporting Gijon23%fair 4.43 · @4.30
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.95
Almeria53%fair 1.90 · @1.72
2.88Expected goals
1.15Sporting Gijon xG
1.73Almeria xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–28%
1–06%
2–16%

From our goals model: Sporting Gijon 1.2 – 1.7 Almeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Sporting GijonAlmeria
Attack vs Segunda División average-8%+32%
Goals conceded vs average-8%-26%
Our expected goals here1.081.44

Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlmeria to win ✗53%1.901.72
Double chanceAlmeria or draw ✗77%1.291.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.601.50
Draw no betAlmeria (draw no bet) ✗70%1.43–
Asian handicapSporting Gijon +1 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.581.60
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.22
First team to scoreAlmeria to score first ✗57%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Almeria / FT Almeria ✗31%3.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.36–

Recent results

Sporting Gijon – last 6

WLWWLL
17 May@ Zaragoza3–1W
26 Apr@ Cordoba2–3L
19 Aprvs Cadiz3–0W
6 Aprvs Real Sociedad II1–0W
1 Apr@ Racing Santander1–3L
8 Mar@ FC Andorra0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Almeria – last 6

WWLWWW
4 Mayvs Mirandes4–2W
5 Aprvs Leganes2–1W
2 Apr@ Castellón0–2L
29 Marvs Real Sociedad II5–1W
20 Mar@ Huesca3–1W
9 Marvs Cultural Leonesa3–0W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sporting Gijon and Almeria.

Sporting Gijon vs Almeria head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Almeria13922+1429
2Castellón12831+1827
3Burgos13733+524
4Eibar12723+723
5Granada CF12723+623
6Mallorca12642+822
7Sporting Gijon13715-122
8Girona13634+1021
9Oviedo13634+321
10Las Palmas13625-220
11Cordoba13616019
12Valladolid13535+218
13Sabadell13463+118
14Tenerife12363-215
15Eldense13427-614
16Celta de Vigo II13346-613
17Real Sociedad II13337-712
18Leganes13337-1212
19FC Andorra12327-511
20Cadiz13247-210
21Albacete13319-1110
22AD Ceuta FC131210-205

More Segunda División predictions

League hub
FT Albacete3 Real Sociedad II1 152%1.85X23%3.75224%3.80 1.7–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Huesca0 Castellón1 118%4.65X23%3.95259%1.66 0.9–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✗
FT Las Palmas1 Zaragoza1 161%1.39X23%4.35216%8.20 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Cadiz3 Leganes0 147%2.20X26%3.30228%3.20 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT Malaga1 Racing Santander1 156%1.64X22%4.30222%4.40 2.0–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.38 ✗
FT Mirandes3 Granada CF1 155%1.44X24%4.30221%7.10 1.6–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Valladolid0 Deportivo La Coruna2 125%5.10X24%3.85251%1.63 1.2–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Cultural Leonesa0 Burgos2 130%3.00X28%3.15243%2.40 1.0–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting Gijon vs Almeria?

Our pick is Almeria or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Almeria?

On our numbers Sporting Gijon have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Almeria 53%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting Gijon vs Almeria?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting Gijon vs Almeria?

Our predicted score is Sporting Gijon 1–1 Almeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Sporting Gijon vs Almeria?

Sporting Gijon vs Almeria (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.