Cultural Leonesa v Burgos Prediction & Expected Goals (24 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBurgos to win ✓43% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.97

Cultural Leonesa vs Burgos: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cultural Leonesa welcome Burgos to Estadio Municipal Reino de León for a Segunda División fixture on Sunday 24 May (17:30 WAT).

Current form

Cultural Leonesa, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Granada CF, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Burgos, last 4: DWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with AD Ceuta FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Burgos, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Cultural Leonesa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cultural Leonesa 1.0 xG, Burgos 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Cultural Leonesa 30%, draw 28%, Burgos 43%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cultural Leonesa 0–1 Burgos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cultural Leonesa30%fair 3.35 · @3.00

Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.15

Burgos43%fair 2.35 · @2.40

2.26Expected goals

0.98Cultural Leonesa xG

1.28Burgos xG

52%Both score

39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%

1–113%

0–010%

1–010%

0–29%

1–28%

From our goals model: Cultural Leonesa 1.0 – 1.3 Burgos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Cultural Leonesa	Burgos
Attack vs Segunda División average	-22%	+0%
Goals conceded vs average	+9%	-23%
Our expected goals here	0.94	1.29

Cultural Leonesa

Burgos

Attack vs Segunda División average

-22%

+0%

Goals conceded vs average

+9%

-23%

Our expected goals here

0.94

1.29

Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Burgos to win ✓	43%	2.35	2.40
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	72%	1.38	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	52%	1.94	1.95
Draw no bet	Burgos (draw no bet) ✓	59%	1.70	–
Asian handicap	Cultural Leonesa +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	74%	1.34	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	65%	1.53	1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	61%	1.65	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	1.05
First team to score	Burgos to score first ✓	51%	1.98	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	47%	2.15	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Burgos / FT Burgos ✓	25%	4.01	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	11.97	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Burgos to win ✓

43%

2.35

2.40

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

72%

1.38

1.30

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✗

52%

1.94

1.95

Draw no bet

Burgos (draw no bet) ✓

59%

1.70

–

Asian handicap

Cultural Leonesa +1 (Asian handicap) ✗

74%

1.34

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

65%

1.53

1.45

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals ✓

61%

1.65

1.57

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

80%

1.25

1.20

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

91%

1.10

1.05

First team to score

Burgos to score first ✓

51%

1.98

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

47%

2.15

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Burgos / FT Burgos ✓

25%

4.01

–

Correct score

Correct score 1–2 ✗

11.97

–

Recent results

Head to head

Segunda División table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	13	9	2	2	+14	29
2	Castellón	12	8	3	1	+18	27
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	+5	24
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+7	23
5	Granada CF	12	7	2	3	+6	23
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	+8	22
7	Sporting Gijon	13	7	1	5	-1	22
8	Girona	13	6	3	4	+10	21
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Las Palmas	13	6	2	5	-2	20
11	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	0	19
12	Valladolid	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Sabadell	13	4	6	3	+1	18
14	Tenerife	12	3	6	3	-2	15
15	Eldense	13	4	2	7	-6	14
16	Celta de Vigo II	13	3	4	6	-6	13
17	Real Sociedad II	13	3	3	7	-7	12
18	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-12	12
19	FC Andorra	12	3	2	7	-5	11
20	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	-2	10
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	-11	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	-20	5

Team

Pts

+14

+18

-1

+10

-2

-2

-6

-6

-7

-12

-5

-2

-11

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cultural Leonesa vs Burgos?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Cultural Leonesa vs Burgos?

On our numbers Cultural Leonesa have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Burgos 43%.

How many goals will there be in Cultural Leonesa vs Burgos?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cultural Leonesa vs Burgos?

Our predicted score is Cultural Leonesa 0–1 Burgos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Cultural Leonesa vs Burgos?

Cultural Leonesa vs Burgos (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Reino de León.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

12 Apr	@ Granada CF	0–1	L
1 Apr	@ Huesca	1–1	D
29 Mar	vs FC Andorra	0–4	L
23 Mar	@ Castellón	1–1	D
9 Mar	@ Almeria	0–3	L
1 Mar	vs Las Palmas	0–3	L

1 Apr	vs AD Ceuta FC	1–1	D
22 Mar	vs Cordoba	4–0	W
15 Mar	@ Eibar	0–0	D
22 Feb	@ Racing Santander	0–1	L

Cultural Leonesa v Burgos: numbers & prediction