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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Afan Lido v Trethomas Bluebirds: numbers & prediction

FAW Championship · Wales · Princess Margaret Way

Afan Lido

L
1–0
FT

Trethomas Bluebirds

D
Afan Lido 29%Draw 24%Trethomas Bluebirds 47% Expected goals 1.56 – 1.82
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultTrethomas Bluebirds to win ✗47% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.38

Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:30 WAT, Friday 20 February: Afan Lido v Trethomas Bluebirds in the FAW Championship, played at Princess Margaret Way. In the table, Afan Lido are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Trethomas Bluebirds are 8th (upper half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Afan Lido 1.6 xG, Trethomas Bluebirds 1.8 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Afan Lido 29%, draw 24%, Trethomas Bluebirds 47%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Afan Lido 1–1 Trethomas Bluebirds. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Afan Lido29%fair 3.42 · @3.20
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Trethomas Bluebirds47%fair 2.14 · @1.95
3.39Expected goals
1.56Afan Lido xG
1.82Trethomas Bluebirds xG
62%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%

From our goals model: Afan Lido 1.6 – 1.8 Trethomas Bluebirds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Afan LidoTrethomas Bluebirds
Attack vs FAW Championship average-2%+10%
Goals conceded vs average+1%+5%
Our expected goals here1.841.86

Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTrethomas Bluebirds to win ✗47%2.141.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.611.67
Draw no betTrethomas Bluebirds (draw no bet) ✗61%1.63–
Asian handicapAfan Lido +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
First team to scoreTrethomas Bluebirds to score first ✗52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓37%2.72–
Half-time / full-timeHT Trethomas Bluebirds / FT Trethomas Bluebirds ✗27%3.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.38–

Recent results

Afan Lido – last 1

L
13 Febvs Newport City0–1L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Trethomas Bluebirds – last 1

D
13 Feb@ Ammanford AFC0–0D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Afan Lido and Trethomas Bluebirds.

Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pontypridd Town13832+1327
2Aberystwyth Town11812+1825
3Swansea University11731+1924
4Caerau (Ely)13715+122
5Baglan Dragons13625020
6Ynyshir Albions11542+719
7Afan Lido14536-218
8Trethomas Bluebirds13454+317
9Treowen Stars12525-117
10Carmarthen Town13436-615
11Pontardawe Town11425-114
12Caerphilly Athletic13427-714
13Newport City11344+413
14Cardiff Draconians11335-512
15Llantwit Major12336-1212
16llanelli AFC140311-313

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub
FT Newport City2 Llantwit Major1 152%1.91X24%3.40224%3.40 1.7–1.2xG 1XNewport City or draw 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Trefelin2 Ynyshir Albions0 166%1.12X18%7.00216%13.00 2.1–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.91 ✗
FT Buckley Town1 Holywell2 122%4.60X20%4.00258%1.50 1.6–2.4xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.44 ✓
FT Llandudno4 Denbigh Town0 168%1.20X17%5.50214%10.00 2.6–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.67 ✗
FT Newtown AFC2 Guilsfield0 144%2.25X26%3.10230%2.70 1.6–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.55 ✗
FT Gresford Athletic3 Flint Mountain0 133%2.10X23%3.40243%2.80 1.5–2.1xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

On our numbers Afan Lido have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Trethomas Bluebirds 47%.

How many goals will there be in Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Our predicted score is Afan Lido 1–1 Trethomas Bluebirds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Princess Margaret Way.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.