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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gresford Athletic v Flint Mountain: numbers & prediction

FAW Championship · Wales · The Hollingsworth Group Stadium

Flint Mountain

Gresford Athletic 33%Draw 23%Flint Mountain 43% Expected goals 1.49 – 2.10

65%

Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating

1.44Odds

Value bet: Flint Mountain to win @ 2.80 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFlint Mountain to win ✗43% · @2.80

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.44

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.44

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.05

Gresford Athletic vs Flint Mountain: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Friday 20 February: Gresford Athletic v Flint Mountain in the FAW Championship, played at The Hollingsworth Group Stadium.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gresford Athletic 1.5 xG, Flint Mountain 2.1 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Gresford Athletic 33%, draw 23%, Flint Mountain 43%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Flint Mountain to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gresford Athletic 1–2 Flint Mountain. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gresford Athletic33%fair 2.99 · @2.10

Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.40

Flint Mountain43%fair 2.30 · @2.80

3.59Expected goals

1.49Gresford Athletic xG

2.10Flint Mountain xG

65%Both score

70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%

1–19%

2–27%

2–16%

1–36%

0–26%

From our goals model: Gresford Athletic 1.5 – 2.1 Flint Mountain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Gresford Athletic	Flint Mountain
Attack vs FAW Championship average	-41%	-18%
Goals conceded vs average	+44%	-4%
Our expected goals here	1.02	1.97

Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Flint Mountain to win ✗	43%	2.30	2.80 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	65%	1.55	1.44
Draw no bet	Flint Mountain (draw no bet) ✗	57%	1.77	–
Asian handicap	Gresford Athletic +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	87%	1.14	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	70%	1.44	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	52%	1.94	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	71%	1.41	–
First team to score	Flint Mountain to score first ✗	57%	1.76	–
Half-time result	Flint Mountain ahead at half-time ✗	40%	2.50	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Flint Mountain / FT Flint Mountain ✗	32%	3.08	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.05	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gresford Athletic and Flint Mountain.

Gresford Athletic vs Flint Mountain head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	14	11	1	2	+19	34
2	Newtown AFC	13	9	3	1	+19	30
3	Porthmadog	14	8	3	3	+7	27
4	Mold Alexandra	13	7	4	2	+15	25
5	Bala Town	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Caersws	13	6	5	2	+10	23
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	13	6	4	3	+15	22
8	Guilsfield	14	4	6	4	+1	18
9	Buckley Town	14	4	3	7	0	15
10	Holyhead Hotspur	13	4	3	6	-3	15
11	Llanuwchllyn	14	4	3	7	-9	15
12	Denbigh Town	13	4	2	7	-2	14
13	Rhyl	14	2	7	5	-3	13
14	Ruthin Town	13	3	3	7	-12	12
15	Gresford Athletic	12	2	1	9	-26	7
16	Penrhyncoch	13	0	1	12	-34	1

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub

Afan Lido1

Trethomas Bluebirds0 129%3.20X24%3.25247%1.95 1.6–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.67 ✗

Newport City2

Llantwit Major1 152%1.91X24%3.40224%3.40 1.7–1.2xG 1XNewport City or draw 76%@1.25 ✓

Trefelin2

Ynyshir Albions0 166%1.12X18%7.00216%13.00 2.1–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.91 ✗

Buckley Town1

Holywell2 122%4.60X20%4.00258%1.50 1.6–2.4xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.44 ✓

Llandudno4

Denbigh Town0 168%1.20X17%5.50214%10.00 2.6–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.67 ✗

Newtown AFC2

Guilsfield0 144%2.25X26%3.10230%2.70 1.6–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.55 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gresford Athletic vs Flint Mountain?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Gresford Athletic vs Flint Mountain?

On our numbers Gresford Athletic have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Flint Mountain 43%.

How many goals will there be in Gresford Athletic vs Flint Mountain?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gresford Athletic vs Flint Mountain?

Our predicted score is Gresford Athletic 1–2 Flint Mountain, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Gresford Athletic vs Flint Mountain?

Gresford Athletic vs Flint Mountain (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at The Hollingsworth Group Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Gresford Athletic v Flint Mountain: numbers & prediction