Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.40
Newport City vs Llantwit Major: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:30 WAT, Friday 20 February: Newport City v Llantwit Major in the FAW Championship, played at Newport Stadium. In the table, Newport City are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Llantwit Major are 15th (in the drop zone) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newport City 1.7 xG, Llantwit Major 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newport City 52%, draw 24%, Llantwit Major 24%.
Lower-risk option: Newport City or draw (76%) at 1.25.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Newport City or draw (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newport City 1–1 Llantwit Major. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newport City52%fair 1.92 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.40
Llantwit Major24%fair 4.22 · @3.40
2.87Expected goals
1.71Newport City xG
1.16Llantwit Major xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Newport City 1.7 – 1.2 Llantwit Major expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Newport City
Llantwit Major
Attack vs FAW Championship average
+1%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.96
1.47
Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newport City to win✓
52%
1.92
1.91
Double chance
Newport City or draw✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
Newport City (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Llantwit Major +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Newport City to score first
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newport City / FT Newport City✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Newport City – last 1
W
13 Feb
@ Afan Lido
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Llantwit Major
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newport City and Llantwit Major.
What is the prediction for Newport City vs Llantwit Major?
Our pick is Newport City or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Newport City vs Llantwit Major?
On our numbers Newport City have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Llantwit Major 24%.
How many goals will there be in Newport City vs Llantwit Major?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newport City vs Llantwit Major?
Our predicted score is Newport City 1–1 Llantwit Major, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Newport City vs Llantwit Major?
Newport City vs Llantwit Major (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Newport Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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