Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultTrefelin to win ✓66% · @1.12
Double chanceTrefelin or draw ✓84% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Trefelin vs Ynyshir Albions: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 20 February the FAW Championship brings Trefelin against Ynyshir Albions at Ynys Park. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Trefelin 2.1 xG, Ynyshir Albions 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Trefelin 66%, draw 18%, Ynyshir Albions 16%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trefelin 2–1 Ynyshir Albions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Trefelin66%fair 1.51 · @1.12
Draw18%fair 5.49 · @7.00
Ynyshir Albions16%fair 6.41 · @13.00
3.21Expected goals
2.08Trefelin xG
1.13Ynyshir Albions xG
59%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Trefelin 2.1 – 1.1 Ynyshir Albions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Trefelin
Ynyshir Albions
Attack vs FAW Championship average
+28%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
-12%
Our expected goals here
2.03
1.49
Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trefelin to win✓
66%
1.51
1.12
Double chance
Trefelin or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Trefelin (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Ynyshir Albions +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Trefelin to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Trefelin ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trefelin / FT Trefelin✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Trefelin – last 2
WW
17 Feb
vs Baglan Dragons
3–0
W
13 Feb
@ Carmarthen Town
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ynyshir Albions
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trefelin and Ynyshir Albions.
What is the prediction for Trefelin vs Ynyshir Albions?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Trefelin vs Ynyshir Albions?
On our numbers Trefelin have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Ynyshir Albions 16%.
How many goals will there be in Trefelin vs Ynyshir Albions?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trefelin vs Ynyshir Albions?
Our predicted score is Trefelin 2–1 Ynyshir Albions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Trefelin vs Ynyshir Albions?
Trefelin vs Ynyshir Albions (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Ynys Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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